Maple Madness

Senior Mixed Épée

Saturday, March 1, 2025 at 10:00 AM

Vermont Commons School - South Burlington, VT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHEN Allen 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 45% 13%
2 DJONOUMA Toyohm 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 18% 3%
3 YIN Chujun 100% 92% 63% 27% 7% 1% -
3 TCHERNYSHOV ANNA 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 44% 9%
5 MIAN Ismail 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 22%
6 LUSSIER Jesse B. 100% 100% 95% 73% 38% 11% 1%
6 CHEN Luowen 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 13% 1%
8 BUSH Thomas 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 26%
9 NGUYEN Thanh H. 100% 99% 93% 70% 35% 9% 1%
10 COFFIN Carleton 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 9%
11 SCHUPPE Ray W. 100% 99% 84% 50% 18% 3% -
12 ELDER Justin 100% 99% 93% 73% 39% 12% 1%
13 HENTY Colton 100% 98% 85% 54% 21% 4% -
14 RUGGLES William R. 100% 83% 46% 16% 3% - -
15 MCDARBY Michael B. 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 21% 3%
16 MAY Ciaran 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 19% 3%
17 COBURN David 100% 99% 85% 48% 13% 2% -
18 LAMOREAUX Zachariah P. 100% 98% 87% 58% 25% 6% 1%
19 FERLAND Brent 100% 97% 78% 43% 13% 2% -
20 POWERFREEMAN Mark 100% 58% 18% 3% - - -
21 COLLIER Samara 100% 39% 6% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.