2025 Chapman Invitational

Junior Men's Saber

Sunday, March 2, 2025 at 12:30 PM

Murdough Athletic Center - Hudson, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 CHAN Chun 100% 100% 99% 90% 58% 12%
2 KLECKNER Shane 100% 93% 66% 28% 6% -
3 BENHAM Grant 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 24%
3 NERANDZIC Ronin 100% 98% 86% 55% 20% 3%
5 MILLER Bryton 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 8%
6 SMELTZER Michael 100% 96% 75% 36% 8% 1%
7 LIU Lucas 100% 94% 69% 33% 9% 1%
8 LIU Logan 100% 89% 57% 22% 5% -
9 PARKER Anthony 100% 82% 43% 13% 2% -
10 ALLEN-PAYNE Silas 100% 99% 86% 50% 15% 1%
11 OSWALD Christian 100% 97% 79% 43% 12% 1%
12 CHEN Andy 100% 99% 90% 60% 23% 3%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.