George Mason University Patriot Open 2025

Div III Mixed Épée

Sunday, March 9, 2025 at 1:00 PM

George Mason Recreational Athletics Complex (RAC) - Fairfax, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ISAACSON Bjorn 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 57%
2 CANDELARIA Armando 100% 100% 95% 74% 33% 5%
3 GLOGOWSKI Konrad 100% 100% 99% 92% 63% 16%
3 EVANS George 100% 99% 92% 65% 24% 2%
5 HOWLETT Daniel 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 15%
6 HU Alexander W. 100% 100% 100% 92% 52% 9%
7 TRITHART Jacob M. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 57%
8 PENNER Kyle D. 100% 100% 99% 92% 61% 18%
9 TANG Justin 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 31%
10 SEID Zachary W. 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 36% 8%
11 HERMES Henry 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 45%
12 SIMS Martin L. 100% 91% 60% 22% 4% -
12 BENUCCI Vincent 100% 98% 78% 34% 6% -
14 DELONG Joshua 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 24% 4%
15 MCCABE Kian 100% 92% 61% 23% 5% -
16 CAMPBELL Paul 100% 100% 97% 81% 43% 8%
17 LUNDEN Espen 100% 100% 98% 84% 47% 11% 1%
18 WRIGHT Madison 100% 96% 78% 45% 16% 3% -
19 MARKOWITZ Sam 100% 99% 76% 33% 6% -
20 VILLANUEVA Daniel 100% 100% 95% 79% 45% 13%
21 GOMEZ David 100% 99% 89% 59% 23% 4%
22 GRAMLICH Bradley 100% 100% 99% 91% 61% 19%
23 WATERS Nathaniel 100% 99% 94% 75% 41% 13% 2%
24 CHAN Ian 100% 100% 95% 68% 21% 2% -
25 STEVENS Daniel L. 100% 94% 65% 25% 4% -
26 KOOB Julian 100% 94% 62% 13% 1% -
27 NANAYAKKARA Damin 100% 99% 83% 44% 10% 1%
28 ABU-AJAJ Mohamed 100% 96% 76% 41% 12% 1%
29 DIAZ Brenna 100% 97% 75% 32% 5% -
29 OZBAY Alp 100% 92% 61% 23% 4% -
31 DOMENICO Michael 100% 96% 76% 42% 15% 3% -
32 MOLINA Rommel 100% 83% 44% 14% 2% - -
33 STOUT Zachary 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 46% 11%
34 ROGERS Mark 100% 86% 31% 3% - -
35 SCHICKEL Juliana 100% 72% 27% 4% - -
36 LACHER Daniel 100% 89% 58% 24% 6% 1% -
37 WILSON Ivan B. 100% 98% 85% 45% 12% 1%
38 HAVERSON Civa 100% 87% 51% 18% 3% -
39 ERBER Liberty 100% 86% 53% 21% 5% 1% -
40 NANAYAKKARA Sanuthi 100% 48% 11% 1% - -
41 JARRATT Isaac 100% 92% 61% 23% 4% -
42 SULLIVAN Kailee 100% 74% 32% 7% 1% -
43 NESTERUK Hope 100% 86% 42% 7% - - -
44 CRAMER Jay 100% 95% 73% 34% 7% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.