George Mason University Patriot Open 2025

Div III Mixed Épée

Sunday, March 9, 2025 at 1:00 PM

George Mason Recreational Athletics Complex (RAC) - Fairfax, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ISAACSON Bjorn - - 1% 8% 34% 57%
2 CANDELARIA Armando - 5% 21% 40% 29% 5%
3 GLOGOWSKI Konrad - 1% 7% 29% 47% 16%
3 EVANS George 1% 7% 28% 41% 22% 2%
5 HOWLETT Daniel - - 3% 14% 32% 35% 15%
6 HU Alexander W. - - 7% 41% 43% 9%
7 TRITHART Jacob M. - - 1% 7% 36% 57%
8 PENNER Kyle D. - 1% 8% 31% 42% 18%
9 TANG Justin - - 1% 5% 21% 42% 31%
10 SEID Zachary W. - 1% 7% 21% 35% 28% 8%
11 HERMES Henry - - 2% 12% 41% 45%
12 SIMS Martin L. 9% 32% 37% 18% 4% -
12 BENUCCI Vincent 2% 20% 44% 28% 5% -
14 DELONG Joshua - 2% 11% 28% 35% 20% 4%
15 MCCABE Kian 8% 31% 37% 19% 4% -
16 CAMPBELL Paul - 3% 16% 37% 35% 8%
17 LUNDEN Espen - 2% 14% 37% 37% 10% 1%
18 WRIGHT Madison 4% 18% 33% 29% 13% 3% -
19 MARKOWITZ Sam 1% 23% 43% 27% 6% -
20 VILLANUEVA Daniel - 4% 17% 33% 33% 13%
21 GOMEZ David 1% 10% 30% 36% 19% 4%
22 GRAMLICH Bradley - 1% 8% 30% 42% 19%
23 WATERS Nathaniel 1% 5% 19% 34% 29% 11% 2%
24 CHAN Ian - 5% 27% 47% 19% 2% -
25 STEVENS Daniel L. 6% 29% 40% 21% 4% -
26 KOOB Julian 6% 32% 49% 12% 1% -
27 NANAYAKKARA Damin 1% 16% 39% 34% 9% 1%
28 ABU-AJAJ Mohamed 4% 20% 35% 29% 11% 1%
29 DIAZ Brenna 3% 22% 44% 27% 5% -
29 OZBAY Alp 8% 31% 38% 19% 4% -
31 DOMENICO Michael 4% 19% 34% 28% 12% 2% -
32 MOLINA Rommel 17% 38% 31% 11% 2% - -
33 STOUT Zachary - - 3% 15% 36% 36% 11%
34 ROGERS Mark 14% 55% 28% 3% - -
35 SCHICKEL Juliana 28% 45% 23% 4% - -
36 LACHER Daniel 11% 31% 34% 18% 5% 1% -
37 WILSON Ivan B. 2% 14% 39% 34% 11% 1%
38 HAVERSON Civa 13% 36% 34% 14% 3% -
39 ERBER Liberty 14% 33% 32% 16% 4% 1% -
40 NANAYAKKARA Sanuthi 52% 37% 10% 1% - -
41 JARRATT Isaac 8% 30% 38% 20% 4% -
42 SULLIVAN Kailee 26% 42% 25% 7% 1% -
43 NESTERUK Hope 14% 44% 35% 6% - - -
44 CRAMER Jay 5% 23% 39% 27% 7% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.