GRAFA RYC\RJCC\ROC - Third Coast Cup 2025

Div II Men's Foil

Friday, March 14, 2025 at 10:00 AM

MSA Sports Spot - Grand Rapids, MI, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ASHIDA Tomoaki 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 37%
2 MAK Collin Chun Shing 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 21%
3 ARAVINDAKSHA Ayaan 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 15%
3 LEYVA MATOS Danyer 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 55%
5 CLARK Benjamin 100% 100% 95% 73% 34% 6%
6 DAVIS Benjamin 100% 99% 70% 29% 6% 1% -
7 TEH Tang-Ngu 100% 100% 99% 88% 59% 23% 4%
8 YIN Zixin(Gavin) 100% 100% 96% 72% 30% 4%
9 FANG Haoyu 100% 100% 97% 77% 34% 4%
9 TAN Xinlai 100% 100% 95% 74% 37% 7%
11 SEIGEL Duncan 100% 98% 84% 50% 18% 3% -
12 RONE Tosan 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 39%
13 SINHA Verdhaan 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 45%
14 IRVINE Brody 100% 100% 95% 75% 40% 9%
15 BERSCHEID Arthur 100% 99% 90% 64% 27% 5%
16 RAJPAL Alastair 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 11%
17 HOLLIDAY Christopher Mansfield-Scott 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 29% 6%
18 KABARITI Karim 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 14% 2%
19 SMITH Erick 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 32%
20 EDWARDS Connor 100% 99% 92% 66% 29% 6% -
21 BARRETT Austin 100% 99% 94% 73% 37% 8%
22 LANE Sean 100% 74% 32% 8% 1% -
23 TOEWS Jackson 100% 100% 98% 82% 48% 15% 2%
24 POWELL Sean 100% 95% 74% 38% 12% 2% -
25 ZMUDA Aiden 100% 95% 71% 34% 9% 1% -
25 LOCKWOOD Jacob 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 20% 3%
27 FINDLER Zachary 100% 100% 95% 73% 36% 9% 1%
28 NEWMAN Noah 100% 100% 86% 50% 16% 2% -
29 HEYBOER Jason 100% 99% 88% 58% 22% 4%
30 RIFKIND Mark 100% 99% 88% 60% 24% 4%
31 WILLIAMS Christopher R. 100% 73% 31% 7% 1% -
32 ZINSER Jamie 100% 92% 64% 28% 7% 1% -
33 RUBY Asher 100% 74% 32% 8% 1% -
34 CLIPPARD Erik J. 100% 95% 71% 33% 8% 1%
35 JUSCINSKI Michal 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 8%
36 CROOM Tucker 100% 100% 92% 59% 20% 2%
37 CARRINO David 100% 99% 94% 76% 42% 13% 1%
38 KNIBBE Nathan 100% 98% 86% 54% 21% 4% -
39 TOWNE Benjamin 100% 99% 90% 65% 30% 8% 1%
40 DECKER Evan M. 100% 99% 92% 66% 27% 4%
41 WENGER Liam 100% 93% 42% 8% 1% -
42 BONE Porter 100% 88% 51% 16% 2% -
43 STORER Alexander 100% 96% 78% 42% 13% 2%
44 GRINER Kevin 100% 94% 69% 32% 8% 1%
45 DIEPSTRA Jeremy 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 37% 7%
46 DRAWZ Chase 100% 61% 20% 3% - - -
47 STELLPFLUG Zachary 100% 79% 40% 12% 2% - -
48 LOCKWOOD Jereme 100% 61% 21% 4% - - -
49 BASS Nathan 100% 95% 73% 37% 10% 1%
50 SANDLER Marc 100% 23% 2% - - -
51 BUSMAN Caleb 100% 97% 76% 29% 5% - -
52 TERPSTRA Clive 100% 10% - - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.