GRAFA RYC\RJCC\ROC - Third Coast Cup 2025

Y-14 Men's Foil

Friday, March 14, 2025 at 3:30 PM

MSA Sports Spot - Grand Rapids, MI, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 TEH Tang-Ngu - - - 2% 12% 38% 48%
2 DESERANNO Leander - - - - 1% 12% 88%
3 PAYNE Lynas 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 5% -
3 ZHAO Jason - 1% 9% 32% 41% 16%
5 LI Andy - 1% 5% 21% 41% 31% 2%
6 KNIBBE Nathan - - 4% 20% 43% 33%
7 DIFRANK Avery - 2% 10% 27% 37% 21% 3%
8 WANG Freyr 5% 22% 36% 26% 9% 1% -
9 WENGER Liam - 1% 12% 34% 39% 13%
10 XUE Lucas 5% 24% 38% 25% 7% 1% -
11 MYERS Julian - - 4% 23% 44% 28%
12 MADDES Gage - 7% 34% 40% 16% 2%
13 MORALES Tycho - 7% 28% 40% 21% 4%
15 CHASE Crosby 1% 8% 25% 37% 24% 6% -
16 KOLACKI Gabriel 1% 7% 24% 37% 25% 6% -
17 ROUS Miguel - 4% 23% 41% 27% 6%
18 DEBORD Beckett - 2% 12% 29% 35% 18% 3%
19 MCGRATH Milo 1% 16% 38% 33% 11% 1%
20 MARVEL Elliot 27% 50% 19% 3% - -
21 DENG Albert 17% 38% 31% 11% 2% - -
22 WILLIAMS Thomas 10% 31% 35% 19% 5% 1% -
23 BILLIET Greyson 4% 31% 41% 20% 4% -
24 VOGEL Rylan 46% 44% 9% 1% - -
25 BUSMAN Caleb 12% 33% 35% 16% 3% - -
26 LUND Jonah 72% 25% 3% - - -
27 BEIER Rowan 13% 34% 33% 15% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.