GRAFA RYC\RJCC\ROC - Third Coast Cup 2025

Y-14 Men's Foil

Friday, March 14, 2025 at 3:30 PM

MSA Sports Spot - Grand Rapids, MI, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 TEH Tang-Ngu 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 48%
2 DESERANNO Leander 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88%
3 PAYNE Lynas 100% 98% 87% 58% 24% 5% -
3 ZHAO Jason 100% 100% 99% 90% 58% 16%
5 LI Andy 100% 100% 99% 95% 74% 33% 2%
6 KNIBBE Nathan 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 33%
7 DIFRANK Avery 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 24% 3%
8 WANG Freyr 100% 95% 72% 37% 11% 1% -
9 WENGER Liam 100% 100% 99% 87% 52% 13%
10 XUE Lucas 100% 95% 71% 34% 8% 1% -
11 MYERS Julian 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 28%
12 MADDES Gage 100% 100% 92% 58% 19% 2%
13 MORALES Tycho 100% 100% 92% 64% 24% 4%
15 CHASE Crosby 100% 99% 92% 67% 30% 6% -
16 KOLACKI Gabriel 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 6% -
17 ROUS Miguel 100% 100% 96% 74% 33% 6%
18 DEBORD Beckett 100% 100% 97% 85% 56% 21% 3%
19 MCGRATH Milo 100% 99% 83% 45% 12% 1%
20 MARVEL Elliot 100% 73% 22% 3% - -
21 DENG Albert 100% 83% 45% 13% 2% - -
22 WILLIAMS Thomas 100% 90% 59% 24% 5% 1% -
23 BILLIET Greyson 100% 96% 65% 24% 4% -
24 VOGEL Rylan 100% 54% 10% 1% - -
25 BUSMAN Caleb 100% 88% 55% 20% 4% - -
26 LUND Jonah 100% 28% 3% - - -
27 BEIER Rowan 100% 87% 52% 19% 4% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.