GRAFA RYC\RJCC\ROC - Third Coast Cup 2025

Div I-A Men's Foil

Saturday, March 15, 2025 at 8:00 AM

MSA Sports Spot - Grand Rapids, MI, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MCISAAC Finn - - 1% 6% 21% 41% 31%
2 ASHIDA Tomoaki - 1% 6% 23% 39% 26% 5%
3 LIU Ethan - - - 3% 17% 42% 37%
3 STRINGER David - 2% 13% 33% 38% 14%
5 PALMA Nathan Anthony - 1% 6% 20% 35% 30% 9%
6 ZHENG Marcus - - 1% 7% 34% 53% 5%
7 TANG August L. - - 1% 10% 34% 41% 15%
8 KIM Brian - 1% 6% 24% 42% 27%
9 GUTH Joseph - - - 5% 23% 44% 28%
10 SHEVCHENKO Kostiantyn - 4% 18% 38% 32% 7%
11 TAN Xinlai - - 4% 18% 37% 32% 9%
12 WOJCIECHOWSKI Matthew N. - - - 4% 19% 43% 34%
13 GRIFFIN John O. - - - - - 11% 88%
14 GATRELL Mitchell E. - - 1% 8% 26% 41% 25%
15 HAMILTON Brock B. - - 2% 13% 33% 38% 13%
16 NOWAK Joseph A. - - 1% 10% 32% 41% 16%
17 BAILEY William F. - - - 4% 23% 44% 29%
18 LEYVA MATOS Danyer - 1% 8% 30% 41% 20%
19 HOLLIDAY Christopher Mansfield-Scott - 3% 14% 30% 33% 17% 3%
20 HOWLAND Jonas - - 2% 15% 39% 34% 9%
21 CLARK Benjamin 2% 13% 32% 35% 16% 2%
22 EDWARDS Maxon - - 1% 8% 28% 41% 21%
23 FINDLER Zachary - 8% 33% 41% 17% 2% -
24 DIEPSTRA Jeremy - 3% 16% 35% 32% 13% 2%
25 MAVANI Krishna 1% 6% 23% 36% 26% 8% 1%
26 DAVIS Benjamin 1% 28% 45% 23% 4% - -
27 RAJ Jay - 1% 10% 33% 41% 16%
28 MASSIMINO Andrew - 6% 25% 41% 23% 5% -
29 HEYBOER Jason 4% 20% 37% 29% 9% 1%
30 FANG Haoyu 2% 13% 30% 33% 18% 4% -
31 ATKINSON JOSIAH - 6% 30% 40% 20% 4% -
32 STORER Alexander 5% 27% 38% 23% 6% 1% -
33 YIN Zixin(Gavin) - 4% 17% 35% 31% 12% 1%
34 VANOYEN Dominick - - 4% 19% 37% 31% 9%
35 BARRETT Austin - 4% 17% 32% 30% 13% 2%
36 GOGOI Vir K. - - 5% 22% 40% 27% 6%
37 TEH Tang-Ngu 2% 13% 34% 34% 14% 3% -
38 RONE Tosan - 1% 12% 36% 38% 13%
39 LOCKWOOD Jacob 2% 23% 44% 25% 5% -
40 NEWMAN Noah 20% 41% 29% 9% 1% - -
41 SMITH Erick 1% 5% 18% 32% 29% 13% 2%
42 IRVINE Brody 8% 27% 35% 22% 7% 1% -
43 RUBY Asher 21% 53% 23% 4% - - -
44 ARAVINDAKSHA Ayaan 6% 24% 37% 25% 8% 1%
45 CROOM Tucker 16% 37% 32% 12% 2% -
46 HABBOUB Qusai - - 2% 15% 41% 41%
47 KUE Temujin 6% 24% 37% 25% 7% 1%
48 COPELAND Nigel - 1% 9% 33% 44% 13% -
49 SINHA Verdhaan - - 3% 16% 37% 34% 9%
50 TAM Kyle 2% 12% 29% 33% 19% 5% 1%
51 STELLPFLUG Zachary 35% 41% 19% 5% 1% - -
52 TOWNE Benjamin 3% 16% 32% 31% 15% 3% -
52 TOEWS Jackson 15% 35% 32% 14% 3% - -
54 KAGAN Noah 7% 31% 39% 19% 4% - -
55 ZINSER Jamie 1% 21% 44% 28% 6% - -
56 CHEN Jonathan 2% 14% 33% 34% 15% 3% -
57 RIFKIND Mark 8% 36% 38% 15% 3% -
58 BERSCHEID Arthur 11% 34% 36% 16% 3% -
59 POWELL Sean 27% 42% 24% 6% 1% -
60 RAJPAL Alastair 6% 25% 37% 24% 7% 1%
61 KABARITI Karim - 6% 28% 40% 21% 5% -
62 BONE Porter 25% 43% 26% 6% 1% - -
63 SEIGEL Duncan 10% 35% 39% 15% 2% - -
64 CLIPPARD Erik J. 3% 19% 37% 29% 10% 2% -
65 JUSCINSKI Michal 2% 14% 31% 32% 17% 4% -
66 CARRINO David 16% 41% 32% 9% 1% - -
67 DRAWZ Chase 49% 39% 11% 1% - - -
68 KOLACKI Gabriel 55% 38% 6% - - - -
69 GOGOI Kavi 63% 32% 5% - - -
70 NI Aaric 43% 40% 14% 2% - - -
71 GRINER Kevin 5% 29% 40% 21% 5% 1% -
72 DECKER Evan M. 1% 9% 26% 34% 22% 7% 1%
73 REAUME Nate 23% 43% 27% 7% 1% - -
74 TERPSTRA Clive 92% 8% - - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.