GRAFA RYC\RJCC\ROC - Third Coast Cup 2025

Div I-A Men's Foil

Saturday, March 15, 2025 at 8:00 AM

MSA Sports Spot - Grand Rapids, MI, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MCISAAC Finn 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 31%
2 ASHIDA Tomoaki 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 31% 5%
3 LIU Ethan 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 37%
3 STRINGER David 100% 100% 97% 85% 52% 14%
5 PALMA Nathan Anthony 100% 100% 99% 93% 74% 39% 9%
6 ZHENG Marcus 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 58% 5%
7 TANG August L. 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 55% 15%
8 KIM Brian 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 27%
9 GUTH Joseph 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 28%
10 SHEVCHENKO Kostiantyn 100% 100% 96% 78% 40% 7%
11 TAN Xinlai 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 41% 9%
12 WOJCIECHOWSKI Matthew N. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 34%
13 GRIFFIN John O. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 88%
14 GATRELL Mitchell E. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 25%
15 HAMILTON Brock B. 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 13%
16 NOWAK Joseph A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 56% 16%
17 BAILEY William F. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 29%
18 LEYVA MATOS Danyer 100% 100% 99% 91% 61% 20%
19 HOLLIDAY Christopher Mansfield-Scott 100% 100% 97% 83% 54% 20% 3%
20 HOWLAND Jonas 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 44% 9%
21 CLARK Benjamin 100% 98% 86% 53% 18% 2%
22 EDWARDS Maxon 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 21%
23 FINDLER Zachary 100% 100% 92% 59% 18% 2% -
24 DIEPSTRA Jeremy 100% 100% 97% 82% 46% 14% 2%
25 MAVANI Krishna 100% 99% 93% 71% 34% 8% 1%
26 DAVIS Benjamin 100% 99% 71% 27% 4% - -
27 RAJ Jay 100% 100% 99% 89% 57% 16%
28 MASSIMINO Andrew 100% 100% 94% 69% 28% 5% -
29 HEYBOER Jason 100% 96% 76% 39% 10% 1%
30 FANG Haoyu 100% 98% 85% 55% 22% 5% -
31 ATKINSON JOSIAH 100% 100% 94% 64% 24% 4% -
32 STORER Alexander 100% 95% 68% 30% 7% 1% -
33 YIN Zixin(Gavin) 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 13% 1%
34 VANOYEN Dominick 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 40% 9%
35 BARRETT Austin 100% 100% 95% 78% 45% 15% 2%
36 GOGOI Vir K. 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 33% 6%
37 TEH Tang-Ngu 100% 98% 85% 51% 17% 3% -
38 RONE Tosan 100% 100% 98% 86% 50% 13%
39 LOCKWOOD Jacob 100% 98% 75% 30% 6% -
40 NEWMAN Noah 100% 80% 40% 10% 1% - -
41 SMITH Erick 100% 99% 95% 76% 44% 15% 2%
42 IRVINE Brody 100% 92% 65% 30% 8% 1% -
43 RUBY Asher 100% 79% 27% 4% - - -
44 ARAVINDAKSHA Ayaan 100% 94% 71% 34% 8% 1%
45 CROOM Tucker 100% 84% 46% 15% 2% -
46 HABBOUB Qusai 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 41%
47 KUE Temujin 100% 94% 70% 33% 8% 1%
48 COPELAND Nigel 100% 100% 99% 90% 57% 13% -
49 SINHA Verdhaan 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 43% 9%
50 TAM Kyle 100% 98% 87% 58% 25% 6% 1%
51 STELLPFLUG Zachary 100% 65% 25% 5% 1% - -
52 TOWNE Benjamin 100% 97% 82% 49% 19% 4% -
52 TOEWS Jackson 100% 85% 49% 17% 4% - -
54 KAGAN Noah 100% 93% 62% 23% 4% - -
55 ZINSER Jamie 100% 99% 78% 35% 6% - -
56 CHEN Jonathan 100% 98% 84% 51% 17% 3% -
57 RIFKIND Mark 100% 92% 56% 18% 3% -
58 BERSCHEID Arthur 100% 89% 55% 19% 3% -
59 POWELL Sean 100% 73% 31% 7% 1% -
60 RAJPAL Alastair 100% 94% 69% 32% 7% 1%
61 KABARITI Karim 100% 100% 94% 66% 26% 5% -
62 BONE Porter 100% 75% 32% 6% 1% - -
63 SEIGEL Duncan 100% 90% 56% 17% 2% - -
64 CLIPPARD Erik J. 100% 97% 77% 41% 12% 2% -
65 JUSCINSKI Michal 100% 98% 84% 53% 21% 4% -
66 CARRINO David 100% 84% 42% 10% 1% - -
67 DRAWZ Chase 100% 51% 12% 1% - - -
68 KOLACKI Gabriel 100% 45% 7% - - - -
69 GOGOI Kavi 100% 37% 5% - - -
70 NI Aaric 100% 57% 16% 2% - - -
71 GRINER Kevin 100% 95% 66% 26% 5% 1% -
72 DECKER Evan M. 100% 99% 90% 64% 30% 8% 1%
73 REAUME Nate 100% 77% 35% 8% 1% - -
74 TERPSTRA Clive 100% 8% - - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.