UCSB's Ole! Open

Senior Mixed Épée

Saturday, May 11, 2019 at 12:00 PM

Robertson Gym, Main Floor - Santa Barbara, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 ALEXANDER Chuck H. 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 27%
2 NORTON Brendan E. 100% 84% 45% 13% 1%
3 MOHEBI Saam 100% 100% 99% 90% 59% 15%
3 CHAN Cheri K. 100% 99% 85% 47% 10%
5 MEINHOLD Li 100% 100% 97% 77% 31%
6 NORBUTAS Jackson S. 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 46%
7 DEMPSEY Connor 100% 98% 85% 50% 13%
8 YOUNG Ashley 100% 87% 52% 18% 3% -
9 ARGYRIS Michael 100% 92% 64% 26% 5% < 1%
10 SELF Jacob 100% 100% 98% 83% 45% 8%
11 NORMAN Justin 100% 96% 74% 34% 6%
12 YOUNG Jr Junior 100% 92% 64% 27% 5% -
13 COMER Daniel T. 100% 98% 80% 37% 6%
14 DAVIS Neil 100% 83% 43% 11% 1%
15 PARKER Jacquie D. 100% 84% 45% 13% 2% -
16 WANG Kevin 100% 89% 54% 15% 1% -
17 HEPLER Sarah 100% 77% 33% 6% -
18 ARUIZA Samantha 100% 93% 67% 31% 8% 1%
19 AVERY Kincade J. 100% 95% 73% 35% 8%
20 DOI Christopher 100% 97% 78% 41% 11% 1%
21 LAFAVE Andrew 100% 96% 76% 37% 7% -
22 MACLEAN Greyson 100% 93% 59% 15% 1%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.