GRAFA RYC\RJCC\ROC - Third Coast Cup 2025

Junior Men's Foil

Sunday, March 16, 2025 at 8:00 AM

MSA Sports Spot - Grand Rapids, MI, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SENIC Lucas - - - - 2% 23% 75%
2 KIM Brian - - 2% 20% 47% 31%
3 TANG August L. - - - 1% 10% 37% 52%
3 GUTH Joseph - - - 1% 7% 33% 59%
5 GOGOI Vir K. - 1% 6% 25% 42% 26%
6 PALMA Nathan Anthony - - - 2% 14% 40% 44%
7 HOWLAND Jonas - - - 2% 14% 42% 42%
8 HOLLIDAY Christopher Mansfield-Scott - - 3% 18% 41% 31% 7%
9 RAJ Jay - - - 6% 31% 53% 10%
10 LU Alex - - 1% 12% 37% 39% 11%
11 VANOYEN Dominick - 3% 15% 36% 35% 11%
12 LEE Ian - 2% 12% 33% 36% 15% 2%
13 RIFKIND Mark 2% 14% 33% 33% 15% 3% -
14 FANG Haoyu - 1% 6% 25% 40% 25% 4%
15 LIU Yinhong - 1% 8% 27% 38% 23% 4%
16 HEYBOER Jason - 3% 16% 34% 32% 13% 1%
17 KUE Temujin - 1% 6% 22% 37% 27% 7%
18 ALLEN Henry G. - - 2% 12% 39% 47%
19 YIN Zixin(Gavin) - 1% 10% 36% 42% 11% 1%
20 TEH Tang-Ngu - 2% 11% 32% 37% 16% 2%
21 ATKINSON JOSIAH - 1% 11% 31% 36% 18% 3%
22 EDWARDS Maxon - 1% 9% 39% 40% 12%
23 MASSIMINO Andrew - 4% 20% 39% 30% 7%
24 DAVIS Benjamin 20% 45% 30% 5% - -
25 SEIGEL Duncan - 2% 26% 44% 23% 4% -
26 FINDLER Zachary 1% 8% 26% 36% 22% 6% 1%
27 POWELL Sean - 10% 42% 36% 10% 1% -
28 STRINGER David - - 4% 28% 46% 21%
29 CLARK Benjamin - 6% 24% 39% 26% 6%
30 REAUME Nate 21% 43% 28% 7% 1% -
31 EDWARDS Connor - 3% 32% 43% 18% 3% -
32 YATES Graeme 17% 70% 13% 1% - - -
33 TAM Kyle - 3% 18% 36% 31% 11% 1%
34 BARRETT Austin - 1% 6% 22% 37% 27% 7%
35 LOCKWOOD Jacob - 3% 14% 32% 34% 15% 2%
36 CROOM Tucker 2% 16% 36% 32% 11% 1%
37 CHAN William 70% 26% 4% < 1% - - -
38 NEWMAN Noah 2% 22% 38% 27% 9% 1% -
39 BERSCHEID Arthur - 5% 24% 38% 25% 7% 1%
40 ZHENG Marcus - - 1% 6% 23% 42% 29%
41 COPELAND Nigel 1% 9% 30% 38% 19% 3%
42 HERRERA Xavier 26% 45% 23% 5% 1% -
43 ZMUDA Aiden 16% 43% 34% 6% - -
44 IRVINE Brody 2% 14% 35% 34% 14% 2%
45 TOEWS Jackson - 3% 23% 44% 26% 4% -
46 GRINER Kevin 8% 30% 38% 19% 4% - -
47 WENGER Liam 9% 33% 37% 17% 4% - -
48 TOWNE Benjamin 1% 9% 29% 36% 20% 5% -
49 KAGAN Noah 23% 42% 26% 7% 1% -
50 NI Aaric 31% 43% 21% 4% - - -
51 KOLACKI Gabriel 17% 56% 24% 3% - - -
52 GOGOI Kavi 25% 48% 22% 4% - - -
53 MAVANI Krishna - 4% 18% 34% 31% 12% 1%
54 FRASER Alistair 65% 31% 3% - - - -
55 RUBY Asher 26% 47% 24% 3% - -
56 DRAWZ Chase 41% 41% 15% 2% - - -
57 ZINSER Jamie 24% 44% 26% 6% 1% -
58 STELLPFLUG Zachary 12% 37% 36% 14% 2% - -
59 CHASE Crosby 40% 45% 14% 2% - - -
60 TERPSTRA Clive 78% 22% 1% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.