Fairfax Challenge SYC/RJCC

Junior Men's Foil

Friday, March 21, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Fredericksburg Convention Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 PARRISH Evan 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 28%
2 MILLER Jordan 100% 100% 99% 87% 54% 17% 2%
3 WONG Evan 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 3%
3 LI Edison M. 100% 100% 95% 75% 40% 12% 1%
5 LIN James G. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 46%
6 PAN Henry 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 53% 16%
7 SIMONOV Timofey 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 14%
8 ORLOV Dmitriy 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 37% 7%
9 METZ Mason 100% 100% 94% 69% 31% 7% 1%
10 TANG Alexander L. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 43%
11 TANG Albert 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 29%
12 CHO Jadon Yushin 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 61% 19%
13 TIKHAEV Alexander 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 50% 11%
14 GONZALEZ Oliver 100% 100% 96% 74% 37% 9% 1%
15 HUA Aaron 100% 98% 86% 54% 19% 2%
16 BLACK Zachary 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 14% 2%
17 SONG Austin 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 41% 10%
18 ZAIDI Adil 100% 98% 85% 52% 20% 4% -
19 MARISI Gabriel 100% 99% 87% 51% 17% 3% -
20 JIANG Bowang 100% 100% 97% 78% 40% 10% 1%
21 TANG August L. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 39%
22 KRECKE Gareth 100% 99% 67% 25% 5% - -
23 GRIEB Oliver 100% 98% 84% 51% 19% 4% -
24 LEVY Jacob 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 12% 1%
25 SMOLICH Marat 100% 100% 95% 75% 41% 12% 1%
26 CHA James 100% 88% 54% 19% 3% -
27 SHIN Noah 100% 96% 76% 40% 11% 1%
28 LU Andy 100% 98% 88% 58% 22% 3%
29 ALVAREZ ADRIAN ALEJANDRO 100% 99% 85% 48% 14% 2% -
30 RODRIGUEZ Lazaro S. 100% 86% 51% 17% 3% -
31 XU Dinghui Ryan 100% 94% 67% 30% 8% 1% -
32 GRACEY Gavin 100% 83% 37% 8% 1% - -
33 PRICE Owen 100% 100% 98% 84% 51% 17% 2%
34 CHENH Justin 100% 89% 54% 19% 4% - -
35 XU Ryan 100% 37% 5% - - - -
36 REN Ryan 100% 65% 22% 4% - - -
37 BURGOS Jacob R. 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 13% 2%
38 COSSROW Alex 100% 63% 21% 4% - - -
38 STANSBURY Desmond 100% 54% 12% 1% - - -
40 CHEN Tyler 100% 2% - - - - -
40 MONSCH Channing 100% 90% 51% 15% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.