Fairfax Challenge SYC/RJCC

Junior Women's Saber

Friday, March 21, 2025 at 11:00 AM

Fredericksburg Convention Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 JOHNSON Lydia - - - 4% 28% 68%
2 BARROSO Isabela - - 2% 11% 30% 38% 19%
3 SCHAIBLE Sofia L. - - 1% 5% 22% 42% 30%
3 NADKARNI Marisa 1% 10% 27% 34% 22% 6%
5 PADANILAM Lily - 3% 13% 31% 37% 16%
6 SEVASTOPULO Sahra 4% 22% 38% 28% 7% -
7 BERNARD Kathryn - 1% 5% 19% 35% 30% 10%
8 ZHANG Jiaqing 11% 32% 34% 18% 4% -
9 HUANG Neila 3% 17% 33% 31% 13% 2%
10 CHANG Norah - 2% 14% 32% 33% 15% 2%
11 CHANG Annette - 1% 10% 28% 36% 21% 4%
12 JOHNSON Neema 2% 10% 27% 35% 22% 5%
13 LAFFY Lily 5% 21% 34% 28% 11% 2%
14 HU Heidi - 6% 26% 37% 23% 7% 1%
15 KIM Audrey 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3%
16 KHOST Maeve 1% 7% 22% 34% 26% 10% 1%
17 GENTILE Vittoria - 4% 15% 30% 31% 17% 3%
18 KIM Grace 9% 30% 35% 20% 6% 1% -
19 LOO Kaitlyn - - 4% 16% 33% 34% 13%
20 MCAFEE Jada - 2% 11% 28% 34% 20% 4%
21 ELLIS-FURLONG Ava - 3% 16% 38% 37% 6%
22 BUTMAN Chloe Alexandra 5% 22% 35% 26% 10% 2% -
23 HUANG Zoe 17% 38% 30% 12% 2% - -
24 RANDALL-COLLINS Shea M. 6% 24% 35% 25% 9% 1%
25 KRIVOSHEEV Alexandra 1% 7% 23% 35% 27% 8%
26 WUNNAVA Ellora - 2% 11% 27% 34% 21% 5%
27 COLBY Mercer - 1% 10% 29% 36% 20% 4%
28 LIANG Claire 3% 15% 31% 31% 16% 4% -
29 KO Ariel 20% 39% 29% 11% 2% - -
30 TISSONE Veronica 11% 32% 35% 18% 4% -
31 LIU Chelsea 8% 26% 35% 23% 8% 1%
32 YANNOPOULOS Pompie 1% 6% 21% 36% 28% 8%
33 MCSHANE Adele 18% 44% 28% 8% 1% - -
34 BARBORIAK Emily 12% 35% 36% 15% 2% -
35 PASUPULETI Laya 7% 28% 38% 22% 4% -
36 EJIOGU Adaugo 15% 37% 33% 12% 2% -
37 PROBASCO Leila - 5% 17% 32% 30% 13% 2%
38 VANNIER Anouk 43% 43% 12% 2% - - -
39 ARRI Gaia 4% 27% 40% 23% 5% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.