Fairfax Challenge SYC/RJCC

Junior Women's Saber

Friday, March 21, 2025 at 11:00 AM

Fredericksburg Convention Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 JOHNSON Lydia 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 68%
2 BARROSO Isabela 100% 100% 100% 97% 86% 56% 19%
3 SCHAIBLE Sofia L. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 30%
3 NADKARNI Marisa 100% 99% 88% 62% 28% 6%
5 PADANILAM Lily 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 16%
6 SEVASTOPULO Sahra 100% 96% 74% 35% 7% -
7 BERNARD Kathryn 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 40% 10%
8 ZHANG Jiaqing 100% 89% 57% 22% 5% -
9 HUANG Neila 100% 97% 80% 47% 16% 2%
10 CHANG Norah 100% 100% 98% 84% 51% 18% 2%
11 CHANG Annette 100% 100% 99% 89% 61% 25% 4%
12 JOHNSON Neema 100% 98% 88% 62% 27% 5%
13 LAFFY Lily 100% 95% 75% 41% 13% 2%
14 HU Heidi 100% 100% 93% 67% 30% 7% 1%
15 KIM Audrey 100% 97% 82% 50% 18% 3%
16 KHOST Maeve 100% 99% 93% 71% 37% 11% 1%
17 GENTILE Vittoria 100% 100% 96% 81% 51% 20% 3%
18 KIM Grace 100% 91% 61% 26% 6% 1% -
19 LOO Kaitlyn 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 13%
20 MCAFEE Jada 100% 100% 98% 86% 58% 24% 4%
21 ELLIS-FURLONG Ava 100% 100% 97% 81% 43% 6%
22 BUTMAN Chloe Alexandra 100% 95% 73% 38% 12% 2% -
23 HUANG Zoe 100% 83% 45% 14% 3% - -
24 RANDALL-COLLINS Shea M. 100% 94% 70% 35% 10% 1%
25 KRIVOSHEEV Alexandra 100% 99% 92% 69% 35% 8%
26 WUNNAVA Ellora 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 26% 5%
27 COLBY Mercer 100% 100% 99% 88% 59% 23% 4%
28 LIANG Claire 100% 97% 83% 51% 20% 4% -
29 KO Ariel 100% 80% 42% 13% 2% - -
30 TISSONE Veronica 100% 89% 57% 23% 5% -
31 LIU Chelsea 100% 92% 67% 32% 8% 1%
32 YANNOPOULOS Pompie 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 8%
33 MCSHANE Adele 100% 82% 38% 9% 1% - -
34 BARBORIAK Emily 100% 88% 53% 18% 3% -
35 PASUPULETI Laya 100% 93% 64% 26% 5% -
36 EJIOGU Adaugo 100% 85% 47% 14% 2% -
37 PROBASCO Leila 100% 100% 95% 78% 45% 15% 2%
38 VANNIER Anouk 100% 57% 14% 2% - - -
39 ARRI Gaia 100% 96% 69% 28% 6% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.