Fairfax Challenge SYC/RJCC

Y-12 Women's Foil

Friday, March 21, 2025 at 1:30 PM

Fredericksburg Convention Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 AL-BATTAINEH Eva 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 53%
2 HU Sophie 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 26%
3 YACOBUCCI Nadia 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 71%
3 ORBÉ-AUSTIN Maya 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 41%
5 SINGH Evangelina 100% 100% 99% 90% 54% 9%
6 YIN Chloe 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 50%
7 ZHU Ella 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 34%
8 JOO Sara 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 46%
9 CHO Olivia 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 13%
10 FRASER Morgan 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 36%
11 PARK Hannah 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 33% 5%
12 YANG Olivia 100% 100% 100% 98% 81% 34%
13 DE CASTRO Kai 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 24%
14 KHETPAL Aalia 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 6% -
15 CHAN Jolene 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 13%
16 HAFEZ Sahar 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 27% 3%
17 LI Christina 100% 100% 97% 78% 38% 8%
18 ENRIQUEZ Bianca Perla 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 31% 4%
19 ZHU Alivia 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 22% 3%
20 LIU Bella 100% 94% 72% 37% 11% 1% -
21 SMOLICH Emily 100% 100% 99% 88% 60% 23% 3%
22 VO Evelyn 100% 97% 79% 45% 15% 2% -
23 FAROOQI Eliora 100% 92% 60% 21% 4% - -
24 ZHU Audrey 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 16% 1%
25 KIM Audrey 100% 100% 95% 69% 21% 2%
26 PAEK Mila 100% 97% 79% 45% 15% 2% -
27 BREWER Gracie 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 16% 2%
28 HUANG Emma 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 13% 1%
29 FENG Claire 100% 100% 93% 66% 25% 3%
30 WANG Joann 100% 98% 87% 55% 18% 2%
31 JAZWINSKI Ivy 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 18% 1%
32 LU Miaotian 100% 89% 57% 23% 5% - -
33 TANG Clementine 100% 67% 21% 3% - -
34 WANG Allyson 100% 88% 52% 17% 3% -
35 DZIWULSKI Elisabeth Claire 100% 97% 82% 48% 17% 3% -
36 KIM Lael 100% 98% 82% 48% 17% 3% -
37 REILLY Carys 100% 99% 94% 73% 37% 10% 1%
38 LI Katelyn 100% 84% 43% 10% 1% -
39 HUANG Gabrielle 100% 98% 85% 53% 20% 4% -
40 LALONDE Beatrice 100% 94% 70% 34% 9% 1% -
41 CAPPIELLO Francesca 100% 75% 32% 7% 1% - -
42 PAEK Ellie 100% 92% 54% 18% 3% - -
43 WEST Mira 100% 60% 19% 3% - - -
44 JU Victoria 100% 99% 90% 59% 23% 5% -
45 IRIZARRY Nyla 100% 97% 82% 50% 18% 3% -
46 SUN Erin 100% 87% 50% 16% 2% -
47 DEVISETTY Anjali 100% 83% 40% 8% 1% -
48 WANG Christina 100% 100% 94% 74% 37% 8%
49 MA Laurie 100% 66% 25% 5% 1% - -
50 HUANG Jiayu 100% 98% 87% 58% 24% 5% -
51 ZELDIN Nina 100% 86% 47% 14% 2% - -
52 HOLSTAD Anneliese 100% 77% 36% 10% 1% - -
53 CLOUD Chrystie 100% 88% 53% 19% 4% - -
54 JOSEPH Hannah 100% 98% 85% 53% 20% 4% -
55 TAYLOR Tess 100% 78% 33% 5% - -
56 YAO Emma 100% 85% 48% 14% 2% -
57 ZHU Alicia 100% 83% 42% 10% 1% -
58 LI Beatrice 100% 97% 80% 45% 14% 2% -
59 PAK Sophie 100% 40% 7% 1% - - -
60 LU Sophie 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 12% 1%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.