Fredericksburg Convention Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA
Color shade indicates the magnitude of a surprise (positive or negative). Grey means no suprise. Read more.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome * | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | YI Andrew | V V V V V V | V V V V V | 5.2 | 6 | +0.8 |
| 2 | ARTETA-CHEVALIER Ulysse | V V V V V V | V V V V D | 4.8 | 6 | +1.2 |
| 3 | SOLEJ Miles | V V V D V | V V V D | 3.7 | 4 | +0.3 |
| 3 | ATA Kevin | V D V V V | V V V V D | 3.7 | 4 | +0.3 |
| 5 | LI Derek | V V D V V | V V D | 3.8 | 4 | +0.2 |
| 6 | LAN Jasper | V D V V V | V V D | 3.7 | 4 | +0.3 |
| 7 | LEE Aiden | D V V V V | V V D | 2.4 | 4 | +1.6 |
| 8 | WANG Russell | V V D D V | V V V D | 3.9 | 3 | -0.9 |
| 9 | SUN Leonard | V V V V V | V D | 2.9 | 5 | +2.1 |
| 10 | HEILMANN Caleb | V V V V V | V D | 4.0 | 5 | +1.0 |
| 11 | HEILMANN Christian | V V V V V D | V D | 4.5 | 5 | +0.5 |
| 12 | LI Nathan | V V V D V V | V D | 2.1 | 5 | +2.9 |
| 13 | ALLEN Parker | V V V D V V | V D | 4.3 | 5 | +0.7 |
| 14 | CARD Ewan | V D V V V D | V V D | 2.5 | 4 | +1.5 |
| 15 | SHARMA Ayaan | V V V D D | V V D | 2.7 | 3 | +0.3 |
| 16 | MIKHAILOV Andrei | D V D D D V | V V D | 4.7 | 2 | -2.7 |
| 17 | SUH Jordan | V V V V V V | D | 4.0 | 6 | +2.0 |
| 18 | SABINO Bennett | V V D V V | D | 3.7 | 4 | +0.3 |
| 19 | GUO Lining | V V D V D V | V D | 1.6 | 4 | +2.4 |
| 20 | RINALDI Benigno | D V V D V | V D | 4.1 | 3 | -1.1 |
| 21 | LEVY Rafa | D V V V D | V D | 3.0 | 3 | - |
| 22 | ZHANG Leon | D V D V V | V D | 3.0 | 3 | - |
| 23 | GUO Aiden | V V D D D | V D | 2.0 | 2 | - |
| 24 | JOHNSON Leyton | D D V D V | V D | 2.6 | 2 | -0.6 |
| 25 | CHEN Nathan | D V D V D | V D | 1.6 | 2 | +0.4 |
| 26 | QIAO Jason | V D D D V | V D | 2.7 | 2 | -0.7 |
| 27 | GHIM Ethan | V D D V D | V D | 2.0 | 2 | - |
| 28 | GU Viljo Weihan | D V D D V D | V D | 1.3 | 2 | +0.7 |
| 29 | ALBERTI-SCANLON Frank | D D D V D V | V D | 2.5 | 2 | -0.5 |
| 30 | SHEK-WEI Wesley | V D D D V D | V D | 2.0 | 2 | - |
| 31 | GOEL Edrian | V D D D D | V D | 1.3 | 1 | -0.3 |
| 32 | ROSTHOLDER Ethan | D D D V D D | V D | 2.7 | 1 | -1.7 |
| 33 | TOPALOV Michael | V D V D V | D | 2.0 | 3 | +1.0 |
| 34 | PETROSYAN Aleksander | V V D D D V | D | 4.1 | 3 | -1.1 |
| 35 | CHEN Remsen | D V D V D | D | 1.1 | 2 | +0.9 |
| 36 | AUSLANDER Rocco | D V V D D | D | 1.9 | 2 | +0.1 |
| 37 | ASANBAYEV Nikolai | D D V V D | D | 1.4 | 2 | +0.6 |
| 38 | NEPPALLI Dhruv | D D V V D | D | 2.6 | 2 | -0.6 |
| 38 | HUANG Max | V D D D V | D | 1.5 | 2 | +0.5 |
| 40 | HUANG Joseph | D D D V V D | D | 1.8 | 2 | +0.2 |
| 41 | BECKER Grayson | D V D D D V | D | 3.2 | 2 | -1.2 |
| 42 | THORNTON Jackson | D D V D D V | D | 2.1 | 2 | -0.1 |
| 43 | TIAN Michael | D D V D D | D | 2.5 | 1 | -1.5 |
| 44 | XU Evan | D D D V D | D | 2.5 | 1 | -1.5 |
| 45 | LASS Edward | D D D V D D | D | 3.6 | 1 | -2.6 |
| 46 | GOLDSTEIN Malcolm | D D D V D D | D | 3.4 | 1 | -2.4 |
| 47 | ZHANG Luyang | D D V D D D | D | 1.2 | 1 | -0.2 |
| 48 | GU Gordon | D D V D D D | D | 1.6 | 1 | -0.6 |
| 49 | ZHAO Evan | D D D D D | D | 0.4 | 0 | -0.4 |
| 50 | HUX Robert | D D D D D | D | 1.0 | 0 | -1.0 |
| 51 | WANG Thomas | D D D D D | D | 1.1 | 0 | -1.1 |
Color coded boxes represent the outcome against opponents of varying difficulty levels from the perspective of the fencer. Letters inside the boxes indicate victory (V) and defeat (D).
| Color | Outcome | Opponent's Difficulty | Probability of Victory |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |
The visual cues provided in this table highlight bouts that may be considered surprises based on the relative strengths of the competitors:
This visualization is designed to give both fencers and spectators an immediate sense of the unexpected outcomes of the competition. While every bout has its unique circumstances, these indicators can help highlight moments where a fencer overcame the odds or where there was an unexpected turn of events.