Fairfax Challenge SYC/RJCC

Y-10 Men's Saber

Saturday, March 22, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Fredericksburg Convention Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 YI Andrew - - - 2% 14% 42% 42%
2 ARTETA-CHEVALIER Ulysse - - 1% 8% 26% 41% 23%
3 SOLEJ Miles - 1% 8% 30% 42% 19%
3 ATA Kevin - 1% 8% 30% 43% 18%
5 LI Derek - 1% 6% 25% 46% 23%
6 LAN Jasper - 1% 8% 29% 42% 20%
7 LEE Aiden 1% 17% 38% 32% 10% 1%
8 WANG Russell - - 5% 24% 44% 26%
9 SUN Leonard 1% 8% 24% 35% 25% 7%
10 HEILMANN Caleb - - 4% 20% 44% 32%
11 HEILMANN Christian - - 3% 14% 31% 36% 16%
12 LI Nathan 6% 25% 37% 24% 7% 1% -
13 ALLEN Parker - - 3% 15% 37% 36% 9%
14 CARD Ewan 3% 15% 32% 31% 15% 3% -
15 SHARMA Ayaan 2% 12% 28% 34% 20% 5%
16 MIKHAILOV Andrei - - 1% 9% 29% 42% 19%
17 SUH Jordan - 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 7%
18 SABINO Bennett - 1% 8% 29% 42% 20%
19 GUO Lining 11% 35% 36% 15% 3% - -
20 RINALDI Benigno - - 3% 18% 44% 35%
21 LEVY Rafa 1% 6% 24% 39% 25% 6%
22 ZHANG Leon 1% 8% 23% 35% 26% 7%
23 GUO Aiden 4% 24% 41% 25% 5% -
24 JOHNSON Leyton 2% 14% 31% 33% 16% 3%
25 CHEN Nathan 11% 35% 36% 15% 3% -
26 QIAO Jason 1% 9% 30% 39% 18% 3%
27 GHIM Ethan 3% 26% 41% 24% 5% -
28 GU Viljo Weihan 23% 39% 27% 9% 2% - -
29 ALBERTI-SCANLON Frank 3% 17% 34% 31% 13% 3% -
30 SHEK-WEI Wesley 7% 27% 36% 22% 7% 1% -
31 GOEL Edrian 22% 40% 28% 9% 1% -
32 ROSTHOLDER Ethan 2% 12% 30% 33% 18% 5% -
33 TOPALOV Michael 5% 26% 41% 23% 5% -
34 PETROSYAN Aleksander - 1% 7% 21% 35% 28% 8%
35 CHEN Remsen 27% 43% 24% 5% - -
36 AUSLANDER Rocco 7% 29% 38% 21% 5% -
37 ASANBAYEV Nikolai 18% 42% 30% 9% 1% -
38 NEPPALLI Dhruv 1% 11% 33% 36% 16% 2%
38 HUANG Max 14% 37% 34% 13% 2% -
40 HUANG Joseph 8% 31% 38% 18% 4% - -
41 BECKER Grayson - 4% 18% 37% 31% 9% 1%
42 THORNTON Jackson 6% 25% 36% 24% 8% 1% -
43 TIAN Michael 2% 13% 35% 36% 12% 1%
44 XU Evan 1% 15% 36% 33% 13% 2%
45 LASS Edward - 2% 13% 32% 34% 16% 3%
46 GOLDSTEIN Malcolm - 4% 16% 33% 32% 13% 2%
47 ZHANG Luyang 25% 41% 26% 7% 1% - -
48 GU Gordon 13% 34% 33% 16% 4% - -
49 ZHAO Evan 67% 29% 4% - - -
50 HUX Robert 29% 44% 22% 5% - -
51 WANG Thomas 25% 43% 25% 6% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.