Fairfax Challenge SYC/RJCC

Y-12 Men's Foil

Saturday, March 22, 2025 at 12:30 PM

Fredericksburg Convention Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LIM EUNSEONG - - - - 5% 30% 65%
2 CHANG Parker - - 1% 13% 44% 42%
3 GE Felix Fei - - - - 4% 27% 69%
3 PAN Ethan - - 2% 14% 44% 40%
5 ZHAO Nathan - - - 2% 11% 38% 50%
6 ZHAI Derrick - - 1% 9% 32% 46% 13%
7 WU Wallace - - - 1% 8% 35% 56%
8 YOON Byungheon - - - 2% 15% 43% 40%
9 JAZWINSKI Ryan - - 2% 10% 28% 39% 21%
10 ZHAI Alex - 1% 6% 25% 44% 24%
11 KINGSLEY Griffin - 2% 12% 32% 38% 15%
12 KIAYIAS Alexander - 2% 15% 44% 39%
13 SIU Max - - 3% 18% 44% 35%
14 HUYNH Matthew - - 3% 18% 43% 35%
15 JIN Daniel - - 2% 13% 37% 38% 10%
16 GRIGORIEV Michael - 1% 7% 26% 42% 24%
17 SHOU Raymond - - 2% 14% 40% 35% 9%
18 SUSANTO William - - 5% 24% 47% 23%
19 VENAFRO Tristan - 1% 9% 27% 37% 21% 4%
20 HUANG Dalynn 2% 14% 32% 34% 15% 2%
20 KIM Daniel - 2% 14% 35% 37% 12%
22 WANG Caleb - 1% 7% 31% 44% 17%
23 JIN George - - 4% 24% 48% 23%
24 TURBAT Travis 1% 9% 32% 42% 16%
25 CHOI Hunter - 3% 15% 32% 34% 15% 1%
26 SHAW eric 6% 26% 39% 23% 5% -
27 CHEN Ethan 1% 12% 30% 33% 18% 5% -
28 WANG Jaaziel 4% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2% -
29 SHEN Lucas 14% 36% 33% 14% 3% - -
30 XIE Jayden - 1% 8% 28% 40% 21% 3%
31 KUBBA Krish 5% 26% 43% 23% 4%
32 HUA Isaac 4% 19% 37% 29% 10% 1% -
33 SUAREZ Lucas - 5% 20% 36% 28% 9% 1%
34 HUYNH Kaleb 1% 6% 23% 36% 26% 8% 1%
35 CAO Joshua - 1% 6% 24% 44% 25%
36 MORALES Tycho 1% 8% 29% 43% 18% 2%
37 PACK Lindsey 6% 26% 39% 23% 6% -
38 FAYVUSOVICH Emmanual 1% 12% 34% 36% 15% 2%
39 MONDESIR Chace 12% 36% 35% 14% 2% -
40 ALABI Adriel 3% 28% 44% 21% 4% -
41 REN Ryan - 1% 5% 23% 40% 27% 4%
42 KUTATELADZE Danieli 9% 33% 39% 17% 3% - -
43 WILSON Jacob - 6% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2%
44 YANG Luca 3% 18% 37% 30% 10% 1% -
45 DANTON Ryan - 4% 18% 34% 30% 12% 1%
46 LI Andrew 5% 25% 40% 25% 5% -
47 XIANG Wangzhi 2% 14% 35% 35% 13% 2% -
48 LIU Bradley 2% 12% 30% 34% 18% 4% -
48 PARK Joshua 1% 6% 21% 34% 28% 10% 1%
50 LIN Ziyue - 4% 17% 33% 30% 13% 2%
51 QIAN Henry - 1% 8% 25% 38% 24% 3%
52 ZENG Albert - 2% 14% 35% 34% 13% 1%
53 JORGE Elijah - 2% 16% 42% 32% 7%
54 SONG Enoch - 4% 16% 33% 32% 13% 2%
55 KIAYIAS Anthony - 2% 9% 26% 35% 23% 5%
56 HOFFMAN Zane 1% 9% 27% 37% 21% 5% -
57 CHONG Cooper 11% 37% 36% 13% 2% - -
58 HAN Jayden 21% 41% 28% 8% 1% - -
59 LEE Ryan 45% 41% 12% 1% -
60 LIU Mason 13% 35% 34% 15% 3% -
61 LALONDE Oscar 27% 43% 24% 6% 1% -
62 YOON Mason 1% 9% 27% 36% 22% 6% -
63 HUANG Anthony 19% 38% 30% 11% 2% - -
64 DEVISETTY Sohun 33% 43% 20% 4% - -
65 SUN Andrew 35% 42% 19% 4% - - -
66 FANG Lionel 4% 28% 40% 22% 5% -
67 BAIER Leon 11% 33% 35% 17% 4% -
68 XU Jonathan 7% 39% 41% 12% 1% -
69 LIN Oliver 24% 44% 26% 6% - -
70 CHEN Kyler 2% 14% 32% 32% 16% 4% -
71 SHAY Xander 31% 42% 22% 5% 1% - -
72 TINGLE Byrd 5% 26% 40% 24% 5% -
73 LI Mason 8% 27% 35% 22% 7% 1% -
74 SINGH Jai Anand 3% 21% 40% 28% 8% 1%
75 HUDSON Jedidiah 16% 41% 33% 9% 1% -
76 TARCHICHI Daniel 1% 10% 26% 34% 22% 6% -
77 LEONG Michael 13% 37% 35% 13% 2% - -
78 SAFAI Bardia 53% 36% 10% 1% - - -
78 GRIFFIN Andrew 14% 34% 33% 15% 3% - -
80 MACK Julian 32% 44% 20% 4% - - -
81 BELL Asher 11% 39% 37% 12% 1%
82 CONVERSO-PARSONS Alexander 6% 26% 37% 23% 7% 1% -
83 BOSNJAK Parker 11% 36% 38% 13% 2% -
83 GREENWALD Silas 8% 29% 37% 21% 5% -
85 HOARE Gabriel 8% 31% 38% 19% 3% - -
86 HOLLANDER Max 1% 8% 27% 39% 22% 4%
87 ENCOMIO Kai 55% 36% 8% 1% - -
89 MURPHY-MIMS Connor 69% 27% 3% - - -
90 CHIRLS Alex 1% 6% 21% 34% 27% 10% 1%
90 BUTTGEREIT Easton < 1% 1% 9% 26% 38% 23% 3%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.