Fairfax Challenge SYC/RJCC

Y-12 Men's Foil

Saturday, March 22, 2025 at 12:30 PM

Fredericksburg Convention Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LIM EUNSEONG 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 65%
2 CHANG Parker 100% 100% 100% 99% 86% 42%
3 GE Felix Fei 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 69%
3 PAN Ethan 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 40%
5 ZHAO Nathan 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 50%
6 ZHAI Derrick 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 59% 13%
7 WU Wallace 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 56%
8 YOON Byungheon 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 40%
9 JAZWINSKI Ryan 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 21%
10 ZHAI Alex 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 24%
11 KINGSLEY Griffin 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 15%
12 KIAYIAS Alexander 100% 100% 98% 83% 39%
13 SIU Max 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 35%
14 HUYNH Matthew 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 35%
15 JIN Daniel 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 48% 10%
16 GRIGORIEV Michael 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 24%
17 SHOU Raymond 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 44% 9%
18 SUSANTO William 100% 100% 100% 94% 70% 23%
19 VENAFRO Tristan 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 25% 4%
20 HUANG Dalynn 100% 98% 84% 51% 18% 2%
20 KIM Daniel 100% 100% 98% 84% 49% 12%
22 WANG Caleb 100% 100% 99% 92% 61% 17%
23 JIN George 100% 100% 100% 95% 71% 23%
24 TURBAT Travis 100% 99% 91% 58% 16%
25 CHOI Hunter 100% 100% 96% 82% 50% 17% 1%
26 SHAW eric 100% 94% 67% 28% 5% -
27 CHEN Ethan 100% 99% 87% 57% 23% 5% -
28 WANG Jaaziel 100% 96% 77% 43% 14% 2% -
29 SHEN Lucas 100% 86% 51% 18% 3% - -
30 XIE Jayden 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 24% 3%
31 KUBBA Krish 100% 95% 69% 27% 4%
32 HUA Isaac 100% 96% 77% 40% 11% 1% -
33 SUAREZ Lucas 100% 100% 94% 74% 39% 10% 1%
34 HUYNH Kaleb 100% 99% 93% 70% 35% 8% 1%
35 CAO Joshua 100% 100% 99% 94% 69% 25%
36 MORALES Tycho 100% 99% 92% 62% 20% 2%
37 PACK Lindsey 100% 94% 68% 29% 6% -
38 FAYVUSOVICH Emmanual 100% 99% 87% 53% 17% 2%
39 MONDESIR Chace 100% 88% 51% 16% 2% -
40 ALABI Adriel 100% 97% 70% 25% 4% -
41 REN Ryan 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 31% 4%
42 KUTATELADZE Danieli 100% 91% 58% 20% 3% - -
43 WILSON Jacob 100% 100% 94% 74% 40% 12% 2%
44 YANG Luca 100% 97% 79% 42% 12% 1% -
45 DANTON Ryan 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 13% 1%
46 LI Andrew 100% 95% 70% 30% 5% -
47 XIANG Wangzhi 100% 98% 84% 49% 15% 2% -
48 LIU Bradley 100% 98% 86% 56% 22% 4% -
48 PARK Joshua 100% 99% 93% 73% 38% 10% 1%
50 LIN Ziyue 100% 100% 96% 78% 46% 16% 2%
51 QIAN Henry 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 27% 3%
52 ZENG Albert 100% 100% 98% 83% 48% 14% 1%
53 JORGE Elijah 100% 100% 98% 82% 40% 7%
54 SONG Enoch 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 15% 2%
55 KIAYIAS Anthony 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 28% 5%
56 HOFFMAN Zane 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 5% -
57 CHONG Cooper 100% 89% 52% 15% 2% - -
58 HAN Jayden 100% 79% 37% 9% 1% - -
59 LEE Ryan 100% 55% 14% 1% -
60 LIU Mason 100% 87% 52% 18% 3% -
61 LALONDE Oscar 100% 73% 30% 6% 1% -
62 YOON Mason 100% 99% 91% 64% 28% 6% -
63 HUANG Anthony 100% 81% 43% 13% 2% - -
64 DEVISETTY Sohun 100% 67% 24% 4% - -
65 SUN Andrew 100% 65% 24% 5% - - -
66 FANG Lionel 100% 96% 68% 27% 5% -
67 BAIER Leon 100% 89% 56% 21% 4% -
68 XU Jonathan 100% 93% 54% 13% 1% -
69 LIN Oliver 100% 76% 32% 6% - -
70 CHEN Kyler 100% 98% 85% 53% 20% 4% -
71 SHAY Xander 100% 69% 28% 6% 1% - -
72 TINGLE Byrd 100% 95% 69% 29% 5% -
73 LI Mason 100% 92% 66% 30% 8% 1% -
74 SINGH Jai Anand 100% 97% 76% 37% 8% 1%
75 HUDSON Jedidiah 100% 84% 43% 10% 1% -
76 TARCHICHI Daniel 100% 99% 89% 63% 28% 6% -
77 LEONG Michael 100% 87% 50% 15% 2% - -
78 SAFAI Bardia 100% 47% 11% 1% - - -
78 GRIFFIN Andrew 100% 86% 51% 19% 4% - -
80 MACK Julian 100% 68% 24% 4% - - -
81 BELL Asher 100% 89% 49% 13% 1%
82 CONVERSO-PARSONS Alexander 100% 94% 68% 31% 8% 1% -
83 BOSNJAK Parker 100% 89% 53% 15% 2% -
83 GREENWALD Silas 100% 92% 63% 26% 5% -
85 HOARE Gabriel 100% 92% 61% 22% 4% - -
86 HOLLANDER Max 100% 99% 91% 64% 25% 4%
87 ENCOMIO Kai 100% 45% 9% 1% - -
89 MURPHY-MIMS Connor 100% 31% 3% - - -
90 CHIRLS Alex 100% 99% 93% 71% 38% 11% 1%
90 BUTTGEREIT Easton 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 25% 3%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.