East Bay Fencers Gym - Oakland, CA, USA
Color shade indicates the magnitude of a surprise (positive or negative). Grey means no suprise. Read more.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome * | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | TEPEDELENLIOGLU Mehmet | V V V V V V | V V V V V | 5.8 | 6 | +0.2 |
| 2 | YAO Geoffrey B. | V V V V V V | V V V V D | 4.8 | 6 | +1.2 |
| 3 | VAN BRUMMEN Anna C. | D V V V D V | V V V D | 3.1 | 4 | +0.9 |
| 4 | HELGE James R. | V D D V D D | V V V V D | 4.3 | 2 | -2.3 |
| 5 | COHEN Benjamin A. | D V V V V V | V V D | 4.1 | 5 | +0.9 |
| 6 | ALLEN Graham | V D V V V V | V V D | 4.7 | 5 | +0.3 |
| 7 | SEO Shawn | V V V D V V | V V D | 4.3 | 5 | +0.7 |
| 8 | ROOD Alex | V D V V V V | V V D | 4.8 | 5 | +0.2 |
| 9 | LICHTEN Keith H. | V V V V V V | V D | 5.9 | 6 | +0.1 |
| 10 | LI Ethan R. | V V D V V V | V D | 2.9 | 5 | +2.1 |
| 11 | CHANDLER Paul F. | V V V V D V | V D | 5.3 | 5 | -0.3 |
| 12 | NAIK Saininad | V V V V D | V D | 3.0 | 4 | +1.0 |
| 13 | CHEN Steve | V V V D V D | V D | 3.3 | 4 | +0.7 |
| 13 | SRIKANTH Hariharan | D V V D V V | V D | 2.0 | 4 | +2.0 |
| 15 | CLINGSHOFF Christopher | D D V V V V | V D | 4.9 | 4 | -0.9 |
| 16 | KAUFMAN Joel H. | D V V V D V | V V D | 4.0 | 4 | - |
| 17 | HE Zhiheng | V V V V V V | D | 4.4 | 6 | +1.6 |
| 18 | BALUCAN Caelus | V V D D V V | D | 1.1 | 4 | +2.9 |
| 19 | XIE HanZhang (Elon) | V V V D V D | V D | 1.4 | 4 | +2.6 |
| 20 | WANG Devin | V V D V D V | V D | 2.4 | 4 | +1.6 |
| 21 | LOVE Eric | D V D V V | V D | 2.5 | 3 | +0.5 |
| 22 | LI Yunji (Rain) | V D V V D | V D | 2.6 | 3 | +0.4 |
| 23 | MURRAY Stephen D. | V D V D V D | V D | 4.0 | 3 | -1.0 |
| 24 | SLOAN Ryan | V V D D D V | V D | 2.9 | 3 | +0.1 |
| 25 | EDWARDS Tim | D D V V V D | V D | 3.5 | 3 | -0.5 |
| 26 | NG Biwon | D D D V D V | V D | 2.8 | 2 | -0.8 |
| 27 | LOGUE Paul | V D D D D V | V D | 1.6 | 2 | +0.4 |
| 28 | PIVOVAROV Lucas | D D D V V D | V D | 2.7 | 2 | -0.7 |
| 29 | HARGROVE Charles | D V D V D D | V D | 3.9 | 2 | -1.9 |
| 30 | PHILIPPINE Johan L. | D V D D D | V D | 2.8 | 1 | -1.8 |
| 31 | YAU Michael | D D D D V D | V D | 1.4 | 1 | -0.4 |
| 32 | SHIU Cole | V D D D D D | V D | 0.8 | 1 | +0.2 |
| 33 | MAYCHROWITZ Matt | V D V D V | D | 3.7 | 3 | -0.7 |
| 34 | SIMAUCHI Andres | D V V D V D | D | 2.3 | 3 | +0.7 |
| 35 | BEITTEL David F. | D V V V D D | D | 2.7 | 3 | +0.3 |
| 36 | ZHU Owen | D D V D V D | D | 0.7 | 2 | +1.3 |
| 37 | DOWNEY Gerard C. | D D V V D D | D | 4.0 | 2 | -2.0 |
| 38 | WEINGARTEN Solomon (Sol) | V D D D V D | D | 3.4 | 2 | -1.4 |
| 39 | REICHMANN Theo | V D D V D D | D | 1.8 | 2 | +0.2 |
| 40 | PLOSCARU Matthew | D D D D V | D | 0.5 | 1 | +0.5 |
| 41 | WU Eric | D D D D D V | D | 1.6 | 1 | -0.6 |
| 42 | ABELE Chris | D V D D D D | D | 3.9 | 1 | -2.9 |
| 43 | LEONARDINI Barry M. | V D D D D D | D | 2.3 | 1 | -1.3 |
| 44 | YUEN Elsie | D D D D V D | D | 1.5 | 1 | -0.5 |
| 45 | DWIGGINS Reese | V D D D D D | D | 2.3 | 1 | -1.3 |
| 46 | LIU Max | D D D D D D | D | 0.9 | 0 | -0.9 |
| 47 | SILVERMAN Sadie | D D D D D D | D | 0.2 | 0 | -0.2 |
| 48 | DENEALE Lucia | D D D D D D | D | 1.1 | 0 | -1.1 |
Color coded boxes represent the outcome against opponents of varying difficulty levels from the perspective of the fencer. Letters inside the boxes indicate victory (V) and defeat (D).
| Color | Outcome | Opponent's Difficulty | Probability of Victory |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |
The visual cues provided in this table highlight bouts that may be considered surprises based on the relative strengths of the competitors:
This visualization is designed to give both fencers and spectators an immediate sense of the unexpected outcomes of the competition. While every bout has its unique circumstances, these indicators can help highlight moments where a fencer overcame the odds or where there was an unexpected turn of events.