Swarthmore College Phoenix Cup C & Under

Div II Mixed Épée

Sunday, March 23, 2025 at 8:45 AM

Lamb-Miller Fieldhouse - Swarthmore, PA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHOU-ESTEBAN Pau 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 31%
2 NOOL Alexander 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 41% 11%
3 KIM Zac 100% 94% 54% 15% 2% -
3 LAWLOR Lee 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 7%
5 ANDERSON Riley 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 50%
6 LEVESQUE Gabriel 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 8%
7 SEIKEL Spencer 100% 100% 97% 76% 32% 5%
8 LENAR David 100% 92% 64% 28% 6% 1%
9 PFEIL Shawn 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 27%
10 CUMMINGS Owen 100% 100% 96% 76% 35% 6%
11 LEE Kevin 100% 99% 88% 46% 11% 1%
12 HOFFMAN Ivy 100% 96% 75% 39% 11% 1%
12 PAULES Christian 100% 98% 84% 52% 19% 3%
14 ZHANG Jason 100% 98% 84% 52% 19% 3%
14 SAINT-PHARD Shana 100% 91% 57% 18% 2% -
16 MAGUIRE Timothy 100% 96% 78% 46% 17% 4% -
17 LOPEZ Alexander 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 21%
18 FAKTOR Emily 100% 94% 68% 31% 8% 1% -
19 RUSEN Gary V. 100% 94% 72% 38% 13% 2% -
20 MITCHELL Matthew D. 100% 95% 71% 33% 8% 1%
21 GUIDANGEN Jason 100% 90% 56% 18% 2% -
22 BISHOP Avery 100% 95% 73% 36% 9% 1%
23 WILKENS Lorelei 100% 78% 37% 9% 1% -
24 ZHAO Rui 100% 99% 89% 64% 31% 9% 1%
25 SPECTER Luka 100% 80% 41% 12% 2% -
26 MOULDING Hugh 100% 98% 87% 57% 21% 3%
27 NEPOMUCENO Elijah 100% 99% 90% 57% 18% 2%
28 TRAN Alex 100% 99% 93% 73% 39% 12% 1%
29 MOO Kaw 100% 98% 85% 54% 19% 3%
30 SCHLISKEY Ellington 100% 91% 58% 20% 3% -
31 FOY Sophia 100% 90% 56% 17% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.