Fairfax Challenge SYC/RJCC

Y-14 Men's Foil

Sunday, March 23, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Fredericksburg Convention Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHEN Kyle P. - - - - 1% 15% 84%
2 PARRISH Evan - - - - 3% 24% 73%
3 TANG Alexander L. - - - - 2% 19% 79%
3 LU Andy - - - 1% 9% 38% 51%
5 GRIFFITH MCALLISTER Thomas - - - 1% 7% 33% 60%
6 HUA Aaron - - - 3% 19% 47% 30%
6 ELKOUSY Zain al Din - - - 3% 15% 41% 41%
8 SIMONOV Timofey - - - - 6% 35% 59%
9 GE Felix Fei - - 1% 7% 25% 41% 25%
10 SHENG Dalton - - - - 2% 25% 73%
11 HUYNH Matthew - - 6% 24% 40% 25% 5%
12 PAN Ethan - 1% 6% 26% 45% 22%
13 MARISI Gabriel - - 3% 19% 44% 34%
14 LI Edison M. - - - 3% 19% 44% 34%
15 LIM EUNSEONG - - 1% 8% 35% 44% 11%
16 YU William - - 1% 11% 34% 40% 14%
17 ZHAO Ryan - 4% 16% 32% 32% 14% 2%
18 CHANG Parker - 2% 11% 29% 37% 19% 1%
19 DOELL Ethan - - - - 4% 27% 69%
20 TOOMRE Kai - 1% 6% 22% 38% 28% 6%
21 ZHAO Nathan - - - 3% 18% 47% 32%
22 JIN Daniel - - 2% 12% 35% 40% 11%
23 JIN Xinyi - 2% 14% 33% 34% 15% 2%
24 YOON Byungheon - - 3% 16% 39% 36% 5%
25 KINGSLEY Griffin - 3% 14% 33% 34% 14% 1%
26 TARCHICHI Robby - - 4% 17% 38% 35% 6%
27 SAMUEL Lucas - 4% 18% 36% 32% 9% 1%
28 ZHAI Alex - 3% 15% 34% 33% 13% 1%
29 CHOI Hunter - 11% 38% 38% 11% 1% -
30 FANG Haoyu - - 3% 19% 45% 33%
31 CHIANG Aiden 9% 32% 38% 18% 3% -
32 BAI Austin - - 3% 15% 33% 36% 13%
33 ONIK Ari N. - 1% 7% 27% 41% 22% 2%
34 ZHAI Derrick - - 2% 12% 37% 42% 7%
35 JIANG Bohan 4% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2% -
36 CHEN Owen 4% 23% 40% 26% 7% 1%
37 ZENG Albert 2% 15% 33% 33% 14% 2% -
38 JAZWINSKI Ryan - 2% 14% 36% 35% 11% 1%
39 LEONG Samuel - 2% 11% 31% 38% 16% 2%
40 GRIGORIEV Michael - 1% 9% 30% 40% 19% 1%
41 XU Ryan 20% 39% 29% 10% 2% - -
42 CHEN Ethan 1% 11% 30% 36% 18% 3% -
43 REN Ryan - 4% 22% 40% 27% 7% -
44 DANTON Ryan 6% 24% 35% 25% 9% 1% -
45 JIN George - 5% 22% 39% 27% 7% -
46 SUSANTO William - 1% 11% 32% 40% 15%
47 SALEH Ali - 2% 10% 29% 37% 20% 2%
48 SIU Max - 3% 16% 35% 32% 12% 1%
49 VENAFRO Tristan - 3% 21% 40% 28% 8% 1%
50 SHAW Eric 6% 25% 37% 25% 7% 1% -
51 CAO Joshua - 4% 16% 35% 33% 10% 1%
52 BAS Jonathan 10% 30% 35% 20% 5% 1% -
53 WEBER Andrew 1% 13% 39% 34% 11% 2% -
54 XIE Jayden 2% 14% 33% 33% 15% 3% -
55 KIM Daniel 1% 10% 30% 38% 18% 3%
56 SONG Enoch 3% 18% 36% 31% 11% 1%
57 BOWLES Kevin 23% 43% 26% 7% 1% -
58 STANSBURY Desmond - 14% 41% 35% 9% 1% -
59 SUAREZ David - - 3% 18% 46% 29% 4%
59 HE Ryan 1% 8% 24% 35% 25% 7% -
59 WANG Caleb 2% 11% 28% 35% 20% 5% -
62 CHOW Kingsley 14% 38% 33% 12% 2% - -
63 MORALES Tycho 10% 31% 36% 19% 4% - -
64 KAYE Ben 5% 21% 36% 28% 9% 1% -
65 PARMAR Veer 4% 40% 41% 14% 1% - -
66 HUYNH Kaleb 6% 30% 39% 20% 4% - -
67 KIAYIAS Alexander 2% 13% 31% 33% 17% 4% -
68 LI Andrew 7% 27% 37% 22% 6% 1% -
69 QIAN Henry 4% 18% 33% 30% 13% 2% -
70 HUANG Anthony 11% 48% 32% 8% 1% - -
71 MACK Ethan 8% 32% 38% 18% 3% -
72 KIAYIAS Anthony 3% 16% 33% 32% 14% 2% -
73 SHAW Spencer 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3% -
74 NEGLEY Royce 5% 26% 39% 24% 6% 1% -
75 JORGE Elijah 3% 17% 36% 30% 12% 2% -
76 BLACK Henry 11% 31% 35% 18% 5% - -
77 CONVERSO-PARSONS Alexander 30% 43% 22% 5% 1% - -
78 MONDESIR Chace 5% 24% 39% 25% 7% 1% -
79 KUBBA Krish 17% 37% 32% 12% 2% - -
80 WANG Jaaziel 26% 44% 24% 6% 1% - -
81 TUCKER Nechiga 6% 24% 35% 25% 9% 1% -
82 RAMESH Prashvin 14% 35% 33% 15% 3% - -
83 LEE Noah - 8% 32% 39% 18% 3% -
84 PACK Lindsey 11% 33% 35% 17% 3% - -
85 BABER Shaheer 9% 32% 37% 18% 4% - -
86 SUN Andrew 51% 40% 8% 1% - - -
87 LIN Oliver 33% 43% 20% 4% - - -
88 XIANG Wangzhi 12% 34% 35% 16% 3% - -
89 HAN Nathan 19% 49% 26% 5% - - -
90 KAZAKEVICH Kanstantsin 66% 30% 4% - - - -
91 SHEN Lucas 22% 43% 26% 7% 1% - -
92 HOARE Gabriel 42% 41% 14% 2% - -
93 NANAYAKKARA Dinuth 4% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2% -
93 CHEN Timothy 46% 40% 12% 2% - - -
95 LEUNG Ezra 3% 31% 44% 19% 2% -
96 CHEN Tyler 84% 15% 1% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.