Fairfax Challenge SYC/RJCC

Y-14 Men's Foil

Sunday, March 23, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Fredericksburg Convention Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHEN Kyle P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 84%
2 PARRISH Evan 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 73%
3 TANG Alexander L. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 79%
3 LU Andy 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 51%
5 GRIFFITH MCALLISTER Thomas 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 60%
6 HUA Aaron 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 30%
6 ELKOUSY Zain al Din 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 41%
8 SIMONOV Timofey 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 59%
9 GE Felix Fei 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 25%
10 SHENG Dalton 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 73%
11 HUYNH Matthew 100% 100% 100% 94% 70% 29% 5%
12 PAN Ethan 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 22%
13 MARISI Gabriel 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 34%
14 LI Edison M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 34%
15 LIM EUNSEONG 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 56% 11%
16 YU William 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 54% 14%
17 ZHAO Ryan 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 16% 2%
18 CHANG Parker 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 20% 1%
19 DOELL Ethan 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 69%
20 TOOMRE Kai 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 34% 6%
21 ZHAO Nathan 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 32%
22 JIN Daniel 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 11%
23 JIN Xinyi 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 17% 2%
24 YOON Byungheon 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 42% 5%
25 KINGSLEY Griffin 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 16% 1%
26 TARCHICHI Robby 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 41% 6%
27 SAMUEL Lucas 100% 100% 95% 78% 42% 10% 1%
28 ZHAI Alex 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 14% 1%
29 CHOI Hunter 100% 100% 88% 50% 12% 1% -
30 FANG Haoyu 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 33%
31 CHIANG Aiden 100% 91% 59% 21% 3% -
32 BAI Austin 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 48% 13%
33 ONIK Ari N. 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 24% 2%
34 ZHAI Derrick 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 49% 7%
35 JIANG Bohan 100% 96% 78% 43% 14% 2% -
36 CHEN Owen 100% 96% 73% 34% 8% 1%
37 ZENG Albert 100% 98% 83% 49% 16% 2% -
38 JAZWINSKI Ryan 100% 100% 98% 83% 48% 12% 1%
39 LEONG Samuel 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 18% 2%
40 GRIGORIEV Michael 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 21% 1%
41 XU Ryan 100% 80% 41% 12% 2% - -
42 CHEN Ethan 100% 99% 88% 57% 21% 4% -
43 REN Ryan 100% 100% 96% 74% 35% 7% -
44 DANTON Ryan 100% 94% 70% 35% 10% 1% -
45 JIN George 100% 100% 95% 72% 34% 7% -
46 SUSANTO William 100% 100% 98% 88% 56% 15%
47 SALEH Ali 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 22% 2%
48 SIU Max 100% 100% 97% 80% 45% 14% 1%
49 VENAFRO Tristan 100% 100% 97% 76% 36% 8% 1%
50 SHAW Eric 100% 94% 70% 33% 8% 1% -
51 CAO Joshua 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 11% 1%
52 BAS Jonathan 100% 90% 61% 25% 6% 1% -
53 WEBER Andrew 100% 99% 85% 46% 13% 2% -
54 XIE Jayden 100% 98% 85% 51% 18% 3% -
55 KIM Daniel 100% 99% 90% 59% 21% 3%
56 SONG Enoch 100% 97% 79% 43% 12% 1%
57 BOWLES Kevin 100% 77% 33% 7% 1% -
58 STANSBURY Desmond 100% 100% 86% 45% 10% 1% -
59 SUAREZ David 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 33% 4%
59 HE Ryan 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 7% -
59 WANG Caleb 100% 98% 88% 60% 25% 5% -
62 CHOW Kingsley 100% 86% 47% 15% 2% - -
63 MORALES Tycho 100% 90% 60% 23% 4% - -
64 KAYE Ben 100% 95% 74% 38% 10% 1% -
65 PARMAR Veer 100% 96% 56% 15% 1% - -
66 HUYNH Kaleb 100% 94% 63% 24% 4% - -
67 KIAYIAS Alexander 100% 98% 84% 54% 21% 4% -
68 LI Andrew 100% 93% 65% 28% 6% 1% -
69 QIAN Henry 100% 96% 79% 46% 15% 2% -
70 HUANG Anthony 100% 89% 41% 9% 1% - -
71 MACK Ethan 100% 92% 60% 21% 4% -
72 KIAYIAS Anthony 100% 97% 81% 48% 17% 2% -
73 SHAW Spencer 100% 97% 82% 50% 18% 3% -
74 NEGLEY Royce 100% 95% 70% 30% 7% 1% -
75 JORGE Elijah 100% 97% 80% 44% 13% 2% -
76 BLACK Henry 100% 89% 58% 23% 5% - -
77 CONVERSO-PARSONS Alexander 100% 70% 27% 5% 1% - -
78 MONDESIR Chace 100% 95% 72% 33% 8% 1% -
79 KUBBA Krish 100% 83% 46% 14% 2% - -
80 WANG Jaaziel 100% 74% 31% 6% 1% - -
81 TUCKER Nechiga 100% 94% 71% 35% 10% 2% -
82 RAMESH Prashvin 100% 86% 51% 18% 4% - -
83 LEE Noah 100% 100% 92% 60% 22% 3% -
84 PACK Lindsey 100% 89% 55% 20% 4% - -
85 BABER Shaheer 100% 91% 59% 22% 4% - -
86 SUN Andrew 100% 49% 9% 1% - - -
87 LIN Oliver 100% 67% 25% 5% - - -
88 XIANG Wangzhi 100% 88% 55% 20% 3% - -
89 HAN Nathan 100% 81% 32% 6% - - -
90 KAZAKEVICH Kanstantsin 100% 34% 4% - - - -
91 SHEN Lucas 100% 78% 34% 8% 1% - -
92 HOARE Gabriel 100% 58% 16% 2% - -
93 NANAYAKKARA Dinuth 100% 96% 76% 42% 14% 2% -
93 CHEN Timothy 100% 54% 14% 2% - - -
95 LEUNG Ezra 100% 97% 65% 22% 2% -
96 CHEN Tyler 100% 16% 1% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.