2025 TCFC March Challenges

Senior Mixed Foil

Sunday, March 23, 2025 at 8:30 AM

Twin Cities Fencing Club - St. Paul, MN, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 TOEWS Jackson 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 47%
2 WILKINS Mateo 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 29%
3 MARTIN Wesley 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 6%
3 GLOVER George 100% 100% 97% 80% 41% 7%
5 ROLDAN-LEVCHENKO Nikita 100% 100% 99% 89% 53% 12%
6 ZINSER Jamie 100% 100% 100% 97% 72% 18%
7 LI Grace 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 19% 3%
8 JARCHO Beckett 100% 100% 100% 100% 93% 56%
9 FOSTERVOLD Castiel 100% 99% 91% 65% 26% 4%
10 STELLPFLUG Zachary 100% 79% 39% 11% 2% - -
11 MENASCO Juliun 100% 99% 95% 76% 42% 11%
12 HOPKINS Dylan 100% 100% 95% 75% 38% 8%
13 NARANJO David E. 100% 100% 96% 77% 39% 8%
14 TRAN Allex 100% 96% 78% 43% 13% 2%
15 RIES Celina 100% 92% 54% 13% 1% -
16 DRAWZ Chase 100% 89% 56% 21% 4% -
17 CLIPPARD Erik J. 100% 99% 91% 62% 24% 4%
18 HICKNER Gabe 100% 58% 15% 2% - -
19 HELLMAN Andrew 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 5%
20 EDLIN Miranda 100% 72% 30% 7% 1% -
21 ARTHURS Minna 100% 94% 67% 27% 5% -
22 POLYZOIS Alkis 100% 88% 45% 6% - -
23 BUECKING Jannis 100% 100% 91% 60% 22% 3%
24 MOULDER Dylan 100% 98% 87% 60% 27% 7% 1%
25 JORGENSEN Kjirsten 100% 96% 76% 41% 13% 2% -
26 DAVIS Jace W. 100% 93% 60% 22% 4% -
27 NEPAL Noukou Asha 100% 68% 23% 3% - -
28 MOHAMED Ahmed 100% 94% 68% 31% 7% 1%
29 PETERSON Penelope 100% 97% 70% 29% 6% -
29 CHRISTENSEN Jack 100% 71% 29% 6% 1% -
31 GUIDER Lee 100% 100% 95% 77% 45% 15% 2%
32 ROY Griffin 100% 98% 80% 43% 11% 1%
33 FENNEWALD Adam 100% 98% 86% 53% 18% 2%
34 KIM Hokyum 100% 99% 90% 61% 24% 4% -
35 ODETTE Jack 100% 99% 91% 64% 26% 4%
36 HELLMAN Daniel 100% 100% 93% 61% 21% 3%
37 CANADA Ethan 100% 100% 92% 59% 17% 1%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.