Fortune SYC/RJCC & Y8

Y-14 Men's Épée

Friday, March 28, 2025 at 12:30 PM

Ontario Convention Center - Ontario, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LU Jacob 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 84%
2 ZHAO Michael(Junyi) 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 23%
3 MAZAHERI Fletcher 100% 100% 94% 69% 29% 5%
3 VAN JAARSVELD Leo 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 19% 3%
5 ROBINSON Samuel 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 68%
6 CHEN Ryan 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 36%
7 DONG Haiyi(Leo) 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 32%
8 AVETISIAN Michael 100% 100% 95% 74% 34% 4%
9 WU Steven 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 29%
10 LIU Andy 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 69%
11 HERBRANDSON Luke 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 10%
12 DU Evan 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 39% 8%
13 GACIOCH Noah 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 17%
14 WANG Jason 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 39% 9%
15 GREENMAN Duke 100% 98% 79% 42% 12% 1%
16 LEE Damien 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 49% 12%
17 HERNDON Liam 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 29%
18 WANG Joey 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 75%
19 MULCAHY Sebastian 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 24%
20 PARKE Nathaniel 100% 100% 98% 87% 61% 28% 6%
21 RONG Marcus 100% 97% 84% 54% 22% 4% -
22 KOFMAN David 100% 100% 97% 81% 43% 10%
23 JAO Aaron 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 7%
24 MEHROTRA Neel 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 44%
25 ENG Kyler 100% 99% 85% 49% 14% 1%
26 ZHANG Austin 100% 100% 95% 79% 48% 16% 1%
27 KHUSHRAJ Rohan 100% 100% 93% 68% 31% 7% 1%
28 KIM Alexander 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 40%
29 LEE Royce 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 63%
30 MYRAH Devin 100% 98% 84% 54% 21% 4% -
31 MENG Haoyi 100% 100% 96% 78% 44% 13% 1%
32 ZHANG Chaoyi(Joey) 100% 98% 87% 59% 25% 6% -
33 VOO Lucas 100% 99% 88% 58% 21% 3%
34 XIE HanZhang (Elon) 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 16% 2%
35 WU Johnny y. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 46% 10%
36 MA Nolan 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 26% 3%
37 HWANG Matthew 100% 99% 89% 61% 26% 5% -
38 RONG Gordon 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 50% 13%
39 ZHANG Luqi 100% 99% 94% 75% 41% 13% 2%
40 SRIKANTH Hariharan 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 11% 1%
41 ADDLEMAN Joshua 100% 100% 99% 88% 54% 15%
42 MORIN-JIANG Jake 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 55%
43 MAXU Tiger 100% 100% 97% 86% 57% 23% 3%
44 SU Samuel 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 35% 5%
45 KIM Remington 100% 100% 99% 89% 61% 26% 5%
46 FU Nolan 100% 100% 96% 81% 52% 20% 4%
47 WONG Aaron 100% 98% 85% 57% 25% 6% 1%
48 LEE Leo 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 12% 1%
49 DENG Destin 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 14% 1%
50 LIN Daniel 100% 92% 64% 28% 7% 1% -
51 WANG Lucas 100% 96% 76% 38% 10% 1%
52 REICHMANN Theo 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 22% 1%
53 WHITE Ryden 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 5%
54 LU Ian 100% 99% 85% 50% 16% 2% -
55 FRANCK Nicholas 100% 92% 63% 27% 6% 1% -
56 MA Ryan 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 29% 5%
57 MOSLEY Wally 100% 100% 99% 89% 61% 22% 3%
58 HSU Joshua 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 24%
59 SCHWARTZMAN Ethan 100% 98% 87% 58% 23% 4% -
60 SUN Jiarui (Jerry) 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 8% -
61 BROWN Korbyn 100% 99% 89% 64% 31% 9% 1%
62 ZENG Oliver 100% 97% 79% 45% 15% 2% -
63 ROBINSON Dax 100% 99% 92% 70% 36% 10% 1%
64 OR Anson 100% 35% 5% - - - -
65 WONG Baron 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 66%
66 DENG Henry 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 50% 12%
67 WONG Alexander 100% 99% 89% 61% 24% 5% -
68 KROTZ Nicolas 100% 100% 93% 67% 29% 6% -
69 TANG Michael 100% 99% 91% 62% 23% 2%
70 LI Timothy 100% 100% 98% 90% 66% 32% 7%
71 ROBERTS Arthur 100% 99% 87% 53% 20% 4% -
72 QIN Owen 100% 100% 96% 80% 49% 19% 3%
73 LIN Bryan 100% 100% 93% 68% 30% 6% -
74 SUROV Alexander 100% 99% 86% 55% 21% 4% -
74 DILEEP Roshan 100% 98% 82% 47% 14% 2% -
76 AUYEUNG Aedan Ho lam 100% 99% 89% 58% 22% 4% -
77 ABRAHAM Aaron 100% 86% 48% 15% 3% - -
78 WONG Vansen 100% 97% 81% 48% 17% 3% -
79 HAMILTON Travis 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 18% 3%
80 BAI Alex 100% 97% 78% 42% 13% 2% -
81 FU Adrian 100% 98% 85% 56% 23% 5% -
82 GUO Luke 100% 98% 84% 50% 18% 3% -
83 WANG Suian (Andy) 100% 96% 75% 38% 10% 1% -
84 CHEN Aiden 100% 94% 65% 26% 5% - -
85 YAO Tristan 100% 97% 75% 36% 8% -
86 SRINIVASAN Sanat Ram 100% 91% 60% 24% 5% 1% -
87 XUE Michael 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 24% 2%
88 YU Brandon 100% 90% 54% 16% 2% -
89 DING Max 100% 90% 56% 20% 3% -
90 PARRA Lucas 100% 89% 52% 14% 1% -
91 JU Shang 100% 78% 37% 9% 1% -
92 HUA Nolan 100% 91% 62% 27% 6% 1% -
93 LAU Caleb 100% 62% 20% 3% - - -
94 WU Nathan 100% 98% 83% 47% 13% 1%
95 GADHVI Darius 100% 100% 94% 73% 38% 11% 1%
96 SHOURIE Neel 100% 99% 87% 57% 22% 4% -
97 KURUGANTI Vivaan 100% 76% 35% 10% 1% - -
98 LIU Max 100% 97% 79% 42% 12% 2% -
99 CHEN Christopher 100% 93% 65% 30% 8% 1% -
100 WANG Devin 100% 100% 95% 75% 37% 7%
101 PISCITELLO Aleksandr 100% 48% 10% 1% - -
102 WANG Juehan 100% 71% 29% 6% 1% -
103 STRONG Justin 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 14%
104 LEE Lucas 100% 98% 85% 56% 25% 6% 1%
105 KIM Evan 100% 98% 88% 59% 25% 5% -
106 SCHIPPER Johann 100% 95% 74% 40% 13% 2% -
107 WANG Dylan 100% 98% 77% 39% 11% 1% -
108 KOU Mason 100% 94% 71% 37% 11% 2% -
109 LIU Aiden 100% 97% 68% 29% 7% 1% -
110 LO Stefan 100% 72% 30% 7% 1% - -
111 KIM Leejay 100% 96% 77% 43% 15% 2% -
112 YEE Lucas 100% 76% 35% 9% 1% - -
113 GUO Jonathan 100% 85% 47% 15% 2% - -
114 PARK Sean 100% 46% 10% 1% - -
115 YOO Lucas 100% 100% 94% 72% 36% 8% -
116 MAZAHERI Theodore 100% 83% 44% 13% 2% - -
117 ZHANG Zhihan 100% 81% 41% 11% 2% - -
119 TONG Tyler 100% 94% 63% 25% 5% 1% -
119 HUNG Ludwig 100% 30% 4% - - - -
119 CHEN Anderson 100% 84% 48% 16% 3% - -
122 FERRIERE Theo 100% 77% 36% 10% 1% - -
123 LI Connor 100% 87% 49% 16% 3% - -
124 TOUSSAINT Wizard 100% 96% 74% 36% 9% 1% -
124 NOLAN Morgan 100% 43% 8% 1% - - -
126 GUO Zihe 100% 74% 31% 7% 1% - -
127 ZENG Aidrik 100% 98% 80% 40% 7% -
128 LIU William 100% 49% 12% 1% - - -
129 LIU Yihong 100% 84% 46% 14% 2% - -
130 SHOURIE Seth 100% 80% 42% 14% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.