Fortune SYC/RJCC & Y8

Y-12 Men's Épée

Saturday, March 29, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Ontario Convention Center - Ontario, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WHITE Ryden - - 1% 5% 21% 41% 32%
2 YAO Tristan - - 2% 11% 31% 40% 17%
3 RONG Marcus - - 2% 12% 31% 38% 17%
3 DU Evan - - - 1% 6% 32% 61%
5 ZHANG Chaoyi(Joey) - - 3% 16% 35% 34% 12%
6 KIM Daniel - - 3% 18% 43% 36%
7 ENG Kyler - - 3% 19% 44% 33%
8 HUA Nolan - 1% 8% 23% 34% 26% 7%
9 SHOURIE Neel - 1% 10% 29% 37% 20% 3%
10 KIM Evan - 4% 15% 30% 32% 17% 3%
11 WANG Lucas - - 4% 17% 33% 33% 12%
12 FU Nolan - - - 2% 12% 39% 47%
13 YU Brandon - 2% 12% 31% 36% 17% 2%
14 LEE Lucas - 1% 6% 21% 36% 28% 7%
15 HWANG Matthew - - 3% 13% 31% 36% 16%
16 MYRAH Devin - 4% 15% 30% 31% 16% 3%
17 PARKE Nathaniel - - - 1% 11% 39% 48%
18 LU Ian - - 3% 13% 30% 37% 17%
19 TANG Michael - - - 3% 17% 42% 37%
20 KROTZ Nicolas - 3% 14% 31% 33% 17% 3%
21 MOSLEY Wally - - 1% 7% 25% 41% 26%
22 LI Stephen - 3% 17% 35% 32% 12% 1%
23 LEE Leo - 1% 5% 18% 33% 31% 12%
24 WU Nathan - - 1% 8% 28% 41% 21%
25 SRINIVASAN Sanat Ram - 5% 17% 31% 30% 15% 3%
26 MA Nolan - - 2% 10% 29% 40% 20%
27 WONG Aaron - 1% 8% 29% 44% 19%
28 SCHIPPER Johann - 2% 13% 36% 38% 12%
29 PARRA Lucas - 2% 10% 30% 37% 19% 2%
30 LIU Aiden - 2% 13% 32% 36% 16% 2%
31 XUE Michael - - 3% 13% 30% 36% 18%
32 WANG Suian (Andy) - 1% 12% 34% 35% 15% 2%
33 KHUSHRAJ Rohan - 1% 6% 22% 36% 27% 7%
34 DING Max - 4% 17% 34% 32% 12% 1%
35 LI Vance 1% 7% 22% 34% 26% 9% 1%
36 ZENG Oliver - - 4% 17% 37% 33% 8%
37 LIU Daniel 1% 6% 20% 34% 28% 11% 1%
38 ROBERTS Arthur - 3% 15% 32% 33% 15% 3%
39 LIN Daniel - 3% 18% 35% 30% 12% 2%
40 LAU Caleb 2% 16% 34% 31% 14% 3% -
41 ABRAHAM Aaron 2% 16% 36% 32% 12% 2% -
42 CHEN Aiden - 3% 16% 32% 32% 15% 3%
42 ZHANG Zhihan 2% 11% 28% 32% 20% 6% 1%
44 LO Stefan 16% 37% 32% 13% 2% - -
45 REN Mark - 3% 14% 30% 32% 17% 3%
46 SUN Jiarui (Jerry) - 1% 7% 25% 39% 24% 5%
47 YI Alexander 1% 6% 20% 33% 27% 11% 2%
48 CHEN Christopher - 5% 23% 41% 26% 5%
49 JU Shang 1% 13% 37% 34% 12% 1%
50 TIAN Dylan 1% 19% 41% 30% 8% 1%
51 KIM Leejay - 2% 10% 27% 36% 21% 4%
52 WANG Ryan 1% 9% 26% 35% 22% 6% 1%
53 CHAN Joseph 11% 33% 35% 17% 4% - -
54 LIN Bryan - - 6% 24% 39% 26% 5%
55 GUO Jonathan 1% 9% 24% 33% 24% 8% 1%
56 ZHANG Jenson - 1% 7% 25% 39% 24% 4%
57 YOON Ian 2% 13% 29% 32% 18% 5% 1%
58 WONG Alexander - 1% 6% 21% 36% 28% 8%
59 FONG Ethan 16% 37% 31% 13% 3% - -
60 NOLAN Morgan 15% 52% 27% 5% - - -
61 TAVERNA Matteo 2% 11% 29% 34% 19% 5% -
62 SHOURIE Seth - 5% 19% 34% 29% 11% 2%
63 WONG Kyle 2% 10% 26% 33% 22% 7% 1%
64 YOO Lucas - 3% 15% 33% 34% 14% 1%
65 YU Haoyun - 6% 29% 40% 21% 4% -
66 WANG Juehan - 10% 33% 38% 16% 2%
67 LEUNG Joon 1% 9% 27% 34% 21% 6% 1%
68 GUO Zihe 9% 29% 35% 20% 6% 1% -
69 MAZAHERI Theodore - 8% 35% 37% 16% 3% -
70 LIN Logan 1% 8% 27% 37% 22% 5% -
71 CHU Clayton 2% 12% 28% 32% 19% 5% 1%
72 BOROVIKOV Alexander 4% 19% 33% 28% 13% 3% -
72 DEMIRCHIAN Edward 22% 42% 27% 8% 1% - -
72 CHEN Anderson 6% 25% 36% 24% 8% 1% -
75 KONG William 1% 8% 26% 37% 23% 6% -
76 ABD ALLAH Hamza 4% 20% 35% 28% 10% 2% -
77 YUN Nicholas 19% 37% 29% 12% 3% - -
78 KOU Logan 44% 42% 12% 1% - - -
78 HUNG Ludwig 23% 50% 22% 4% - - -
80 DUCHNOWSKI Thiesson 5% 24% 38% 25% 7% 1% -
80 LI Jacob 9% 29% 34% 20% 6% 1% -
82 HUYNH Ethan - 1% 6% 20% 35% 30% 9%
83 BUSH Andrew 5% 24% 38% 25% 7% 1% -
84 SI Alexander 13% 37% 34% 13% 2% - -
85 ZHAO Luke 2% 25% 42% 25% 5% -
86 WON Jacob 22% 47% 25% 5% - -
87 HANCOCK Bryce - 4% 20% 36% 29% 10% 1%
88 PARK Sean 3% 19% 35% 29% 11% 2% -
89 YU Rex 2% 12% 28% 33% 19% 6% 1%
90 YUN Mason 6% 24% 35% 25% 9% 2% -
91 LIU William 12% 33% 35% 17% 4% - -
92 LI Nathan 27% 43% 24% 6% 1% - -
93 PURCELL Jonathan - < 1% 9% 52% 32% 6% -
94 TENG Eric 3% 15% 33% 32% 14% 3% -
95 KONG Dean - 1% 6% 21% 36% 28% 8%
96 WANG Hansen - 2% 13% 32% 35% 15% 2%
97 GAN Samuel 51% 38% 10% 1% - - -
98 ZHANG William 17% 36% 30% 13% 3% - -
99 LEE Connor 39% 44% 14% 2% - -
100 LI Ethan 5% 20% 34% 27% 12% 2% -
101 LEE Zeo 82% 17% 1% - - -
102 YANG Rony 31% 43% 21% 5% 1% - -
103 ZHAO Jonathan Li 22% 50% 23% 4% - - -
104 EVANS Harvey 1% 8% 31% 37% 19% 4% -
105 MA Murphy 39% 43% 16% 3% - - -
106 KIM Benjamin 6% 30% 39% 20% 5% - -
107 KIM Christian 40% 41% 16% 3% - - -
108 LAU Jesse 44% 40% 13% 2% - - -
108 CARDON Hinckley 1% 11% 31% 35% 17% 4% -
110 JI Dylan 62% 33% 5% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.