Fortune SYC/RJCC & Y8

Y-12 Men's Épée

Saturday, March 29, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Ontario Convention Center - Ontario, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WHITE Ryden 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 32%
2 YAO Tristan 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 17%
3 RONG Marcus 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 17%
3 DU Evan 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 61%
5 ZHANG Chaoyi(Joey) 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 12%
6 KIM Daniel 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 36%
7 ENG Kyler 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 33%
8 HUA Nolan 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 34% 7%
9 SHOURIE Neel 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 23% 3%
10 KIM Evan 100% 100% 96% 81% 52% 20% 3%
11 WANG Lucas 100% 100% 100% 95% 79% 45% 12%
12 FU Nolan 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 47%
13 YU Brandon 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 19% 2%
14 LEE Lucas 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 35% 7%
15 HWANG Matthew 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 16%
16 MYRAH Devin 100% 100% 96% 81% 51% 20% 3%
17 PARKE Nathaniel 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 48%
18 LU Ian 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 17%
19 TANG Michael 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 37%
20 KROTZ Nicolas 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 20% 3%
21 MOSLEY Wally 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 26%
22 LI Stephen 100% 100% 97% 80% 44% 13% 1%
23 LEE Leo 100% 100% 99% 94% 76% 43% 12%
24 WU Nathan 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 21%
25 SRINIVASAN Sanat Ram 100% 100% 95% 78% 48% 18% 3%
26 MA Nolan 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 20%
27 WONG Aaron 100% 100% 99% 92% 62% 19%
28 SCHIPPER Johann 100% 100% 98% 85% 49% 12%
29 PARRA Lucas 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 21% 2%
30 LIU Aiden 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 18% 2%
31 XUE Michael 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 18%
32 WANG Suian (Andy) 100% 100% 99% 86% 53% 17% 2%
33 KHUSHRAJ Rohan 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 7%
34 DING Max 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 13% 1%
35 LI Vance 100% 99% 92% 70% 36% 11% 1%
36 ZENG Oliver 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 41% 8%
37 LIU Daniel 100% 99% 94% 74% 40% 12% 1%
38 ROBERTS Arthur 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 18% 3%
39 LIN Daniel 100% 100% 96% 78% 44% 14% 2%
40 LAU Caleb 100% 98% 81% 47% 16% 3% -
41 ABRAHAM Aaron 100% 98% 82% 46% 14% 2% -
42 CHEN Aiden 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 17% 3%
42 ZHANG Zhihan 100% 98% 87% 59% 27% 7% 1%
44 LO Stefan 100% 84% 47% 15% 3% - -
45 REN Mark 100% 100% 96% 82% 52% 20% 3%
46 SUN Jiarui (Jerry) 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 29% 5%
47 YI Alexander 100% 99% 93% 73% 41% 13% 2%
48 CHEN Christopher 100% 100% 95% 72% 31% 5%
49 JU Shang 100% 99% 85% 48% 14% 1%
50 TIAN Dylan 100% 99% 80% 39% 9% 1%
51 KIM Leejay 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 25% 4%
52 WANG Ryan 100% 99% 90% 64% 29% 7% 1%
53 CHAN Joseph 100% 89% 56% 21% 5% - -
54 LIN Bryan 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 31% 5%
55 GUO Jonathan 100% 99% 90% 66% 33% 10% 1%
56 ZHANG Jenson 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 28% 4%
57 YOON Ian 100% 98% 84% 55% 24% 6% 1%
58 WONG Alexander 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 8%
59 FONG Ethan 100% 84% 47% 16% 3% - -
60 NOLAN Morgan 100% 85% 33% 6% 1% - -
61 TAVERNA Matteo 100% 98% 87% 58% 24% 5% -
62 SHOURIE Seth 100% 100% 95% 76% 42% 13% 2%
63 WONG Kyle 100% 98% 88% 63% 30% 8% 1%
64 YOO Lucas 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 15% 1%
65 YU Haoyun 100% 100% 94% 65% 25% 4% -
66 WANG Juehan 100% 100% 90% 56% 18% 2%
67 LEUNG Joon 100% 99% 90% 62% 28% 7% 1%
68 GUO Zihe 100% 91% 61% 26% 7% 1% -
69 MAZAHERI Theodore 100% 100% 91% 56% 19% 3% -
70 LIN Logan 100% 99% 92% 65% 28% 6% -
71 CHU Clayton 100% 98% 86% 57% 25% 6% 1%
72 BOROVIKOV Alexander 100% 96% 77% 44% 16% 3% -
72 DEMIRCHIAN Edward 100% 78% 36% 9% 1% - -
72 CHEN Anderson 100% 94% 69% 33% 10% 1% -
75 KONG William 100% 99% 92% 66% 29% 6% -
76 ABD ALLAH Hamza 100% 96% 75% 40% 12% 2% -
77 YUN Nicholas 100% 81% 44% 15% 3% - -
78 KOU Logan 100% 56% 14% 2% - - -
78 HUNG Ludwig 100% 77% 27% 5% - - -
80 DUCHNOWSKI Thiesson 100% 95% 71% 33% 8% 1% -
80 LI Jacob 100% 91% 61% 27% 7% 1% -
82 HUYNH Ethan 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 39% 9%
83 BUSH Andrew 100% 95% 71% 33% 8% 1% -
84 SI Alexander 100% 87% 50% 16% 3% - -
85 ZHAO Luke 100% 98% 73% 30% 6% -
86 WON Jacob 100% 78% 31% 6% - -
87 HANCOCK Bryce 100% 100% 96% 76% 40% 11% 1%
88 PARK Sean 100% 97% 77% 42% 13% 2% -
89 YU Rex 100% 98% 87% 58% 26% 6% 1%
90 YUN Mason 100% 94% 70% 35% 11% 2% -
91 LIU William 100% 88% 55% 21% 4% - -
92 LI Nathan 100% 73% 30% 6% 1% - -
93 PURCELL Jonathan 100% 100% 100% 91% 38% 6% -
94 TENG Eric 100% 97% 82% 49% 17% 3% -
95 KONG Dean 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 8%
96 WANG Hansen 100% 100% 98% 84% 52% 17% 2%
97 GAN Samuel 100% 49% 11% 1% - - -
98 ZHANG William 100% 83% 47% 16% 3% - -
99 LEE Connor 100% 61% 16% 2% - -
100 LI Ethan 100% 95% 75% 42% 14% 3% -
101 LEE Zeo 100% 18% 1% - - -
102 YANG Rony 100% 69% 27% 6% 1% - -
103 ZHAO Jonathan Li 100% 78% 28% 5% - - -
104 EVANS Harvey 100% 99% 92% 61% 24% 5% -
105 MA Murphy 100% 61% 19% 3% - - -
106 KIM Benjamin 100% 94% 64% 25% 5% - -
107 KIM Christian 100% 60% 20% 3% - - -
108 LAU Jesse 100% 56% 16% 2% - - -
108 CARDON Hinckley 100% 99% 88% 56% 22% 4% -
110 JI Dylan 100% 38% 5% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.