Fortune SYC/RJCC & Y8

Y-12 Women's Saber

Saturday, March 29, 2025 at 11:00 AM

Ontario Convention Center - Ontario, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 KIM Saeren 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 43%
2 CHEN Cindy 100% 100% 100% 99% 85% 41%
3 BABOLDASHTIAN Rosegol 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 21%
3 LIU Isabel 100% 100% 96% 81% 51% 19% 3%
5 PARK Chloe 100% 100% 100% 94% 70% 27%
6 CHANG Kaitlyn 100% 100% 99% 93% 66% 23%
7 SARATH Sana 100% 100% 100% 95% 78% 44% 12%
8 CORD Sophia 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 24%
9 LAUREYNS Ainsley 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 18%
9 CAO Kim 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 6%
11 VIGNEUX Nolwenn 100% 100% 93% 66% 25% 4% -
12 PEREIRA Izumi 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 15%
13 CHENG Anna 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 11%
14 KO Ariel 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 37% 8%
15 BAEK Aileen 100% 99% 82% 36% 7% -
16 CAI Joanna 100% 99% 91% 66% 29% 6%
17 DIMAPILIS JHEAVEN 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 35% 6%
18 CHENG Zijuan "Grace" 100% 100% 98% 90% 62% 23%
19 RUSMEVICHIENTONG Lyla 100% 100% 99% 93% 65% 22%
20 NGUYEN Summer 100% 100% 100% 96% 71% 23%
21 SHI Maxine 100% 98% 82% 45% 12% 1%
22 LIN Rachel 100% 100% 99% 90% 66% 30% 6%
23 WANG Makayla 100% 96% 72% 35% 9% 1%
24 LONG Chloe 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 13%
25 SONG Phoebe 100% 97% 79% 38% 9% 1%
26 CHANG Kylie 100% 98% 86% 56% 21% 3%
27 ZOFFEL Gabriela 100% 100% 96% 76% 36% 7%
28 YANG Renee 100% 97% 74% 33% 7% 1% -
29 HU Ashley 100% 100% 98% 85% 49% 12%
30 GUERVILLE Angelique 100% 94% 68% 30% 7% 1%
31 OLESKY Ellie 100% 100% 96% 75% 35% 6%
32 TABANCAY Ava 100% 100% 96% 72% 25% 3%
33 SCHAMBERGER Amelia 100% 93% 67% 31% 8% 1%
34 DUDNICK Caitlin 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 11% 1%
35 GUO YUKI 100% 96% 76% 39% 10% 1%
36 LI Cici 100% 99% 87% 50% 15% 2%
37 BRIMMER Bella 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 7%
38 WOO Ava 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 6% -
39 DENG Oscar 100% 97% 79% 45% 15% 2%
40 JOHNSTON Sabrina 100% 88% 44% 11% 1% -
40 WANG Sinuo 100% 98% 83% 51% 19% 3%
42 SUN Candics 100% 100% 99% 90% 57% 16%
43 KABILING Anika Von Marie 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 3%
44 ZHONG Alexandra 100% 81% 29% 4% - -
45 LIU Jessica 100% 97% 80% 46% 17% 3% -
46 FANG Lauren 100% 65% 23% 4% - - -
47 LIU Kaylee 100% 90% 51% 15% 2% - -
48 ARVIND Heera 100% 95% 72% 37% 10% 1%
49 LIU Anya 100% 70% 28% 6% 1% -
49 SEELMAN Alexa 100% 64% 20% 3% - -
51 LUC Madisyn 100% 97% 80% 44% 13% 2% -
52 FAN Tina 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 47% 10%
53 ZHOU Kelsey 100% 67% 26% 6% 1% - -
54 TAN Angela 100% 89% 57% 23% 5% -
55 ROBBINS Lydia 100% 78% 32% 6% - -
56 ASHIKHMINA Agniya 100% 97% 78% 41% 11% 1%
57 ZHAO Audrey 100% 87% 48% 14% 2% - -
57 ZHONG Victoria 100% 52% 12% 1% - - -
59 WONG Chloe 100% 50% 12% 1% - -
60 VAN ROY Petra 100% 45% 7% - - -
60 SU Stacy 100% 66% 25% 5% 1% -
62 HAN yujie 100% 44% 8% 1% - -
63 LIU Celia 100% 99% 91% 56% 19% 3% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.