Fortune SYC/RJCC & Y8

Y-10 Men's Épée

Sunday, March 30, 2025 at 12:30 PM

Ontario Convention Center - Ontario, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LEE Lucas - - - 1% 7% 32% 60%
2 CHU Clayton 1% 8% 24% 33% 24% 9% 1%
3 LI Stephen - 2% 16% 45% 37%
3 WANG Ryan 1% 6% 21% 36% 29% 8%
5 MAZAHERI John - 2% 12% 35% 39% 13%
6 YOON Ian - 1% 8% 23% 35% 25% 7%
7 TIAN Dylan 2% 14% 36% 35% 12% 1%
8 BOROVIKOV Alexander - - 5% 21% 43% 31%
9 SUN Jiarui (Jerry) - - - 1% 10% 38% 51%
10 ZHANG Jenson - 1% 6% 23% 41% 29%
11 PURCELL Jonathan 1% 11% 29% 34% 19% 5% -
12 LIU Yihong - 1% 9% 24% 35% 25% 7%
13 YOO Lucas - - 2% 13% 41% 44%
14 WONG Kyle - - 1% 5% 22% 43% 29%
15 SI Alexander 1% 8% 23% 33% 25% 9% 1%
16 PINCHUK Spencer 2% 15% 43% 33% 7%
17 YI Alexander - 4% 18% 36% 32% 10% < 1%
18 HONG Eason - 2% 14% 35% 38% 11%
19 YU Rex - 1% 5% 18% 34% 31% 11%
20 DUCHNOWSKI Thiesson 1% 8% 26% 37% 23% 5%
21 LEUNG Joon - 5% 20% 36% 30% 9%
23 REN Mark - 1% 10% 29% 39% 20% 1%
24 WANG Sean - - 2% 11% 30% 40% 18%
25 LIN Logan - 7% 31% 45% 17%
26 JI Dylan 44% 40% 14% 2% - -
27 TENG Eric 1% 6% 21% 33% 27% 11% 2%
29 YONG Henry 1% 7% 25% 37% 24% 6% -
30 LI Nathan 13% 34% 33% 15% 4% - -
31 KOU Logan 16% 36% 31% 14% 3% - -
32 DUCOURNAU Enzo 25% 49% 22% 4% -
33 YUN Mason - - 4% 19% 38% 31% 6%
34 YU Luca - - - - 3% 26% 70%
35 KONG Dean - 1% 5% 18% 33% 31% 11%
36 LI Jacob 1% 5% 19% 33% 30% 12% 1%
37 LEE Paxton 1% 8% 28% 37% 21% 5% -
38 TRIVULCE Ethan 15% 36% 32% 14% 3% -
39 LU Mark 6% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1%
40 YANG Rony 2% 13% 30% 32% 18% 5% 1%
41 YANG Mikey 2% 12% 29% 33% 19% 5% -
41 WON Jacob 2% 12% 29% 33% 19% 5% -
43 KIM Christian 7% 25% 35% 24% 8% 1% -
44 NI Liam 1% 12% 32% 35% 16% 3%
45 GAN Samuel 19% 40% 30% 10% 1% -
46 TU William 9% 31% 37% 19% 4% -
47 OSIKA Wyatt 18% 42% 29% 9% 1% - -
48 SHI Ethan 1% 10% 28% 35% 20% 6% 1%
48 ZHAO Jonathan Li 40% 45% 14% 2% -
50 YANG Orsen 1% 5% 19% 33% 28% 12% 2%
50 DEMIRCHIAN Edward 3% 15% 31% 32% 16% 3% -
52 LEE Connor 7% 25% 35% 24% 8% 1% -
53 LI nathan zeting 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3% -
54 REED Andrew - 3% 18% 37% 31% 10% 1%
55 PEREZ Atticus - 5% 21% 36% 28% 9% 1%
56 HAO Hardy 28% 42% 23% 6% 1% -
57 DUCHNOWSKI Kempson 7% 27% 38% 22% 5% -
58 XUE Jason 1% 10% 29% 37% 20% 4%
59 LI Ethan 1% 5% 20% 34% 29% 11% 1%
60 CHAUDHARY Oliver 1% 9% 26% 33% 22% 7% 1%
61 BUSH Andrew - 3% 15% 30% 32% 17% 3%
62 WANG Alexander 44% 40% 14% 2% - - -
63 LINDBERG Everett 21% 42% 28% 8% 1% -
64 LU Jayden 17% 37% 30% 12% 3% - -
65 WO Aaron 4% 19% 36% 30% 10% 1%
66 ABD ALLAH Yusuf 4% 20% 36% 29% 10% 1%
67 WAN William 8% 44% 37% 11% 1% -
68 LI Anson - 1% 11% 37% 39% 11%
69 LAU Jesse 14% 34% 33% 15% 3% - -
70 ZHANG Lucas 7% 31% 37% 19% 4% - -
71 DAI Greyson 37% 40% 18% 4% 1% - -
72 FENG Alexander < 1% 8% 36% 44% 12% 1%
73 KIM Ian 37% 44% 16% 3% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.