Fortune SYC/RJCC & Y8

Y-10 Men's Épée

Sunday, March 30, 2025 at 12:30 PM

Ontario Convention Center - Ontario, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LEE Lucas 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 60%
2 CHU Clayton 100% 99% 91% 68% 34% 10% 1%
3 LI Stephen 100% 100% 98% 82% 37%
3 WANG Ryan 100% 99% 94% 73% 37% 8%
5 MAZAHERI John 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 13%
6 YOON Ian 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 33% 7%
7 TIAN Dylan 100% 98% 84% 48% 13% 1%
8 BOROVIKOV Alexander 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 31%
9 SUN Jiarui (Jerry) 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 51%
10 ZHANG Jenson 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 29%
11 PURCELL Jonathan 100% 99% 88% 59% 24% 5% -
12 LIU Yihong 100% 100% 98% 90% 66% 31% 7%
13 YOO Lucas 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 44%
14 WONG Kyle 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 29%
15 SI Alexander 100% 99% 91% 68% 35% 10% 1%
16 PINCHUK Spencer 100% 98% 83% 41% 7%
17 YI Alexander 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 11% < 1%
18 HONG Eason 100% 100% 98% 84% 49% 11%
19 YU Rex 100% 100% 99% 94% 76% 42% 11%
20 DUCHNOWSKI Thiesson 100% 99% 91% 65% 28% 5%
21 LEUNG Joon 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 9%
23 REN Mark 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 21% 1%
24 WANG Sean 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 18%
25 LIN Logan 100% 100% 93% 62% 17%
26 JI Dylan 100% 56% 16% 2% - -
27 TENG Eric 100% 99% 93% 73% 40% 13% 2%
29 YONG Henry 100% 99% 92% 67% 31% 7% -
30 LI Nathan 100% 87% 52% 20% 4% 1% -
31 KOU Logan 100% 84% 48% 17% 3% - -
32 DUCOURNAU Enzo 100% 75% 26% 4% -
33 YUN Mason 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 38% 6%
34 YU Luca 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 70%
35 KONG Dean 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 42% 11%
36 LI Jacob 100% 99% 94% 76% 43% 13% 1%
37 LEE Paxton 100% 99% 91% 63% 26% 5% -
38 TRIVULCE Ethan 100% 85% 49% 16% 3% -
39 LU Mark 100% 94% 71% 35% 9% 1%
40 YANG Rony 100% 98% 86% 56% 24% 6% 1%
41 YANG Mikey 100% 98% 86% 58% 24% 5% -
41 WON Jacob 100% 98% 86% 58% 24% 5% -
43 KIM Christian 100% 93% 68% 33% 9% 1% -
44 NI Liam 100% 99% 87% 54% 19% 3%
45 GAN Samuel 100% 81% 41% 11% 1% -
46 TU William 100% 91% 60% 23% 4% -
47 OSIKA Wyatt 100% 82% 39% 10% 1% - -
48 SHI Ethan 100% 99% 89% 61% 26% 6% 1%
48 ZHAO Jonathan Li 100% 60% 15% 2% -
50 YANG Orsen 100% 99% 94% 75% 42% 14% 2%
50 DEMIRCHIAN Edward 100% 97% 82% 51% 19% 4% -
52 LEE Connor 100% 93% 68% 33% 9% 1% -
53 LI nathan zeting 100% 97% 82% 50% 18% 3% -
54 REED Andrew 100% 100% 97% 79% 42% 11% 1%
55 PEREZ Atticus 100% 100% 94% 73% 37% 10% 1%
56 HAO Hardy 100% 72% 30% 7% 1% -
57 DUCHNOWSKI Kempson 100% 93% 66% 28% 5% -
58 XUE Jason 100% 99% 89% 60% 24% 4%
59 LI Ethan 100% 99% 94% 74% 41% 12% 1%
60 CHAUDHARY Oliver 100% 99% 89% 63% 30% 8% 1%
61 BUSH Andrew 100% 100% 96% 82% 52% 20% 3%
62 WANG Alexander 100% 56% 16% 2% - - -
63 LINDBERG Everett 100% 79% 37% 9% 1% -
64 LU Jayden 100% 83% 46% 15% 3% - -
65 WO Aaron 100% 96% 77% 41% 11% 1%
66 ABD ALLAH Yusuf 100% 96% 76% 40% 11% 1%
67 WAN William 100% 92% 49% 12% 1% -
68 LI Anson 100% 100% 99% 88% 51% 11%
69 LAU Jesse 100% 86% 52% 19% 4% - -
70 ZHANG Lucas 100% 93% 61% 24% 5% - -
71 DAI Greyson 100% 63% 22% 5% 1% - -
72 FENG Alexander 100% 100% 92% 57% 13% 1%
73 KIM Ian 100% 63% 19% 3% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.