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Event Results

Div I-A Women's Saber

The Cherry Blossom - D1A/VET ROCSurprise Map

Sunday, March 30, 2025 at 11:00 AM University of Maryland, Reckord Armory · College Park, MD, USA
40 finishers
Difficulty Upsets Pool Heatmap Strength
Birth year

Outcome Surprises

Legend

Green wins and red losses stand out more as the result becomes less expected.

# Name Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome Pool Victories
Pool DE Exp. Act. Diff.
1 JOHNSON Lydia V V V V V V V V V V V 5.5 6 +0.5
2 DAVIDOVA Kira V V V V V V V V V D 3.0 5 +2.0
3 KOLMYKOVA Aleksandra V D V V V V V V V D 4.9 5 +0.1
3 MACKAY Katherine V D V V V V V V D 3.1 4 +0.9
5 PROBASCO Leila V V V D V V V V D 3.3 5 +1.7
6 SEVASTOPULO Sahra D V V V V V V V D 2.3 5 +2.7
7 CHANG Norah V D V V V D V V D 3.4 4 +0.6
8 HUA Catherine W. D V V V D D V V D 3.9 3 -0.9
9 YUCEL Emine I. V V V V V V V D 5.4 6 +0.6
10 XU Emily T. V V V V V V D 3.2 5 +1.8
11 BUTMAN Chloe Alexandra D V V V V V V D 2.3 5 +2.7
12 BERNARD Kathryn V V V D V V V D 3.3 5 +1.7
13 TA-ZHOU Emma D V V V V V D 2.1 4 +1.9
14 TENG Christine Renmei V D V V D V V D 3.7 4 +0.3
15 ELLIS-FURLONG Ava V V D V V D V D 3.6 4 +0.4
16 HENRY Soraya S. V V D D V V D 3.3 3 -0.3
17 BARROSO Isabela V D D V V V D 4.5 4 -0.5
18 COLBY Mercer V V D V D V D 2.5 4 +1.5
19 JOHNSON Laura S. V D V D V D 4.1 3 -1.1
20 SCHAIBLE Sofia L. V V V D D D D 3.7 3 -0.7
21 WEINSTEIN Hannah D V V V D D D 1.9 3 +1.1
22 SPEARS Mya B D V D D V V D 3.9 3 -0.9
23 KIM Grace D V D V D V D 2.2 3 +0.8
24 KHOST Maeve D D V V D V D 2.5 3 +0.5
25 WANG Erica D V V D D V D 1.3 2 +0.7
26 PASUPULETI Laya V D D V D V D 0.9 2 +1.1
27 SIERRA Kate D D D D V V V D 4.5 2 -2.5
28 MCAFEE Jada D V D D D V D 1.7 1 -0.7
29 VANCE Beth S. D D D V D V D 3.3 1 -2.3
30 BARBORIAK Emily D V D D D D V D 1.6 1 -0.6
31 NADKARNI Marisa D D D D D V V D 3.3 1 -2.3
32 YANG Jenny J. D D D D D V V D 4.8 1 -3.8
33 ARRI Gaia V D D D D D D 0.9 1 +0.1
34 NGUYEN Anna V D D D D D D 2.2 1 -1.2
35 HIRSCH Lauren V D D D D D D 0.9 1 +0.1
36 PERRY Madelyn D D V D D D D 2.0 1 -1.0
37 MASTRONARDI Laura D D D D D D 0.7 0 -0.7
38 SHINN-CUNNINGHAM Barbara D D D D D D 3.2 0 -3.2
39 VANNIER Anouk D D D D D D D 0.5 0 -0.5
40 MARTIN Audrey D D D D D D D 0.4 0 -0.4

Legend

Color Outcome Difficulty Win Probability
Victory Very Hard 0% to 20%
Victory Hard 20% to 40%
Victory Roughly Even 40% to 60%
Victory Easy 60% to 80%
Victory Very Easy 80% to 100%
Defeat Very Hard 0% to 20%
Defeat Hard 20% to 40%
Defeat Roughly Even 40% to 60%
Defeat Easy 60% to 80%
Defeat Very Easy 80% to 100%