American Challenge SYC/RJCC

Y-8 Men's Foil

Friday, April 18, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Rockland Community College, Eugene Levy Field House - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 XIA Wenhao 100% 99% 91% 62% 20% 1%
2 SHEN Lawrence 100% 99% 85% 49% 12% 1%
3 JAZWINSKI Archer 100% 100% 96% 80% 49% 18% 3%
3 STARK Ethan 100% 99% 90% 59% 20% 1%
5 XIONG Jeffrey 100% 99% 95% 77% 45% 16% 2%
6 WANG Leon 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 10%
7 TARDIFF Owen 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 64% 24%
8 KIM ISAAC 100% 94% 65% 26% 5% -
9 SUN Neil 100% 91% 62% 25% 5% -
10 HO Marcus 100% 95% 70% 31% 6% -
11 KIM JOSHUA 100% 98% 88% 59% 24% 4%
12 LIU Yuyang 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 70%
13 ARORA Alexander Laszlo 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 5%
14 FAN Oscar 100% 76% 35% 10% 1% -
15 QU Even 100% 82% 45% 15% 3% -
16 CAI Charlie 100% 100% 95% 74% 32% 2%
17 XIONG David 100% 70% 27% 5% - -
18 WU Kangdi 100% 77% 35% 9% 1% -
19 LI Kaiyuan (Kevin) 100% 98% 86% 55% 20% 3%
20 SUSANTO George Michaelson 100% 100% 95% 73% 32% 5%
21 CHEN Jonathan 100% 96% 74% 37% 10% 1%
22 MOSAMEH Faraj 100% 98% 85% 54% 22% 5% -
23 LU Eli 100% 100% 96% 80% 50% 18% 3%
24 LYSHKOUSKI Daniil 100% 100% 99% 90% 58% 13%
26 CHEW Mingyu 100% 88% 52% 16% 2% -
27 CHIN Iker 100% 100% 96% 76% 34% 3%
28 MOTYKIEWICZ Jan 100% 89% 57% 23% 5% 1% -
29 PAN Calvin 100% 85% 51% 19% 4% - -
30 TOWNLEY Kieran 100% 98% 87% 56% 21% 3%
31 HU II Jason 100% 100% 93% 70% 33% 7%
32 NAGI Yousef 100% 100% 96% 76% 34% 6%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.