American Challenge SYC/RJCC

Junior Women's Saber

Friday, April 18, 2025 at 11:30 AM

Rockland Community College, Eugene Levy Field House - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CROOKS Riley - 1% 6% 23% 39% 26% 6%
2 ZHANG Chenfei - - 1% 6% 24% 43% 26%
3 SPEARS Mya B - - 2% 9% 29% 41% 19%
3 BROWN Aria - - 4% 17% 36% 32% 10%
5 HU Anna - - 2% 11% 29% 38% 19%
6 JEONG Katie - - - 1% 10% 36% 52%
7 IANNUZZI Lucy 2% 14% 31% 33% 17% 3%
8 LI Sonia - 4% 16% 33% 33% 13%
9 SHMULER Fiona - 2% 14% 32% 33% 15% 2%
10 XU Elaine - 6% 23% 36% 25% 8% 1%
11 MEDVINSKY Alexandra - - 4% 16% 33% 35% 12%
12 MACKAY Katherine - 2% 11% 30% 39% 19%
13 LOURENCO Alexandra 6% 22% 35% 26% 10% 1%
14 KWON Ava 5% 23% 37% 26% 8% 1%
15 JOHNSON Neema 1% 9% 27% 36% 22% 5%
16 ZHAO Selena 2% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3% -
17 GUVEN Coco - - 2% 10% 32% 40% 16%
18 CHRISTOTHOULOU Olympia C. - - - 4% 19% 41% 35%
19 SUNG Olivia 1% 9% 24% 32% 24% 9% 1%
20 HUANG Pierra 1% 7% 22% 34% 26% 9% 1%
21 NAYAK Esha - 1% 6% 20% 34% 29% 10%
22 KRASOWITZ Lucy - 3% 13% 29% 33% 18% 4%
23 GUGALA Hanna - - 1% 7% 26% 43% 23%
24 PASUPULETI Laya 5% 22% 35% 26% 10% 2% -
25 RANJAN Diya - 4% 19% 35% 29% 11% 1%
26 HUANG Rachael - - 1% 8% 26% 41% 25%
27 MERMEGAS Olivia - 2% 12% 30% 35% 18% 3%
28 ONG Lauren - 3% 15% 31% 32% 15% 3%
29 PARK Haylie 11% 31% 34% 19% 5% 1%
30 WU Yuwei - 1% 8% 25% 37% 24% 6%
31 ZHANG Ashley 1% 6% 21% 35% 27% 9% 1%
32 LIANG Claire 3% 19% 34% 28% 12% 2% -
33 HENRY Soraya S. - 2% 12% 30% 38% 18%
34 SCHAIBLE Sofia L. - - 2% 12% 33% 38% 16%
35 BARNES Sarah 2% 11% 28% 33% 20% 6% 1%
36 BUSH Bethany - - 2% 10% 28% 39% 21%
37 XIE Nora - - 2% 12% 33% 38% 15%
38 CHI Claire - 1% 6% 20% 34% 29% 10%
38 LIU Kelly - 4% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2%
40 KANDADAI Lara - 3% 13% 29% 33% 18% 4%
41 KHOST Maeve 1% 7% 27% 37% 22% 6% 1%
41 NANDA Maanika 1% 9% 26% 34% 22% 7% 1%
43 CHEN Victoria 4% 19% 34% 29% 12% 3% -
44 AKULA Roszlynn 5% 21% 36% 27% 10% 2% -
45 MYAT Chloe - - 4% 16% 33% 34% 13%
46 PALMIERI Giuliana M. 14% 35% 33% 14% 3% -
47 TA-ZHOU Emma - 1% 6% 20% 35% 30% 10%
48 REN Katherine 2% 12% 27% 32% 20% 6% 1%
49 YANNOPOULOS Pompie - 4% 16% 33% 32% 14% 2%
50 HALPERIN Elizabeth H. - 4% 16% 31% 31% 15% 3%
51 LEE Kaitlin 2% 11% 27% 33% 21% 6% 1%
52 NG Sophia 1% 9% 25% 34% 23% 7% 1%
53 FUNG Iris 1% 6% 22% 36% 28% 8%
54 NAYAK Antara 5% 22% 36% 27% 9% 1%
55 KIM Grace 24% 41% 26% 8% 1% -
56 VATS Ishita 1% 14% 35% 33% 14% 3% -
57 VISWANATHAN Nishka - 5% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2%
58 NADKARNI Marisa 1% 6% 19% 33% 29% 11% 1%
59 WANG MONA 12% 32% 33% 17% 4% 1% -
60 BIRNSTILL Reese - 2% 12% 28% 34% 20% 4%
61 DUTA Lyra 3% 17% 34% 31% 13% 3% -
62 LOO Kaitlyn 1% 10% 27% 36% 22% 5%
63 HUANG Doris - 4% 17% 35% 33% 11%
64 PADANILAM Lily - 1% 4% 17% 34% 33% 11%
65 PRESANTH Nandana 1% 7% 23% 34% 25% 9% 1%
66 BORGUETA Madison 1% 10% 27% 34% 21% 7% 1%
67 LI Yuluo 1% 5% 17% 30% 30% 15% 3%
68 NEUMAN Ella 1% 7% 26% 38% 23% 6% 1%
69 CORPUS Hannah 21% 41% 28% 9% 1% - -
70 BUTMAN Chloe Alexandra 10% 31% 35% 19% 5% -
71 LIU Teresa 32% 42% 21% 5% 1% - -
72 LIM Alexa J. 5% 20% 34% 28% 12% 2% -
72 WANG JiaQi 2% 12% 27% 32% 20% 6% 1%
74 STADNIK Emilia - 5% 17% 32% 31% 13% 2%
75 BERRIOS Catalina 5% 20% 33% 27% 12% 3% -
76 WONG Charlene 3% 19% 38% 29% 10% 1% -
77 INSINGA Ava 15% 36% 32% 14% 3% - -
78 KALISHMAN Anna 9% 30% 35% 19% 5% 1% -
79 HO Sophia 27% 41% 24% 7% 1% - -
80 FOSS Persephone 1% 9% 26% 35% 23% 6%
81 BAINS Nandini 8% 28% 37% 21% 6% 1%
82 BOLT - TURNER Carmen 5% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2%
83 MUKHERJEE Moupriya 17% 37% 30% 12% 3% - -
84 JUNG Elise 27% 45% 22% 5% 1% - -
85 KIM Audrey 4% 19% 32% 28% 14% 3% -
86 WANG Chloe 23% 46% 24% 6% 1% - -
87 EJIOGU Adaugo 13% 39% 34% 12% 2% - -
88 KWON Ava 8% 28% 35% 21% 7% 1% -
89 DSOUZA Shayndel 51% 38% 10% 1% - - -
90 BAIK Sarah < 1% 2% 13% 31% 34% 16% 3%
91 HARRISON Allie 39% 43% 16% 2% - - -
92 HUANG Zoe 9% 38% 36% 14% 2% - -
92 EDUSA Leilani 11% 32% 34% 17% 5% 1% -
94 CHAN Isla 36% 45% 16% 3% - - -
95 BHARDWAJ Riya 42% 40% 15% 3% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.