NEUSFA D2/3/Vet Qualifiers

Div II Men's Épée

Sunday, April 20, 2025 at 8:30 AM

Boston Fencing Club - Boston, MA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WILSON Ian G. - - 3% 16% 34% 34% 13%
2 PESSIN Nadav - 5% 19% 34% 29% 11% 1%
3 MICKEY Christopher J. - - 1% 6% 21% 41% 31%
3 MITSCH Aubrey 1% 9% 30% 39% 19% 2%
5 WU Chi Kuan 2% 14% 35% 34% 13% 2%
6 BANNEN Nicholas - 2% 12% 32% 38% 16%
7 REELS Eric J. - 1% 9% 26% 36% 23% 5%
8 KABA Elias - 1% 7% 23% 36% 27% 7%
9 ZHANG Roland - 7% 28% 39% 22% 4%
10 LI Ray 2% 19% 37% 29% 10% 2% -
11 KAIN Brad 1% 12% 32% 35% 17% 3%
12 KOPPENHEFFER Rowan - 4% 17% 33% 31% 14% 2%
13 MARSHALL William L. - 4% 20% 39% 30% 6%
14 HANNA Alexander 17% 42% 31% 9% 1% -
15 GERSEN Jacob - - 1% 11% 39% 49%
16 SAMBROOK Roger C. - 5% 21% 34% 27% 10% 2%
17 MASSE Jack 1% 11% 32% 36% 17% 3%
18 MORI Seneca - 3% 15% 33% 32% 15% 3%
19 OTTAVIANO Marcus 1% 6% 20% 34% 27% 10% 1%
20 MASSE Dean 21% 45% 26% 7% 1% - -
21 MERCURE Edward (Tony) 1% 8% 27% 35% 22% 6% 1%
22 HOLBROOK Joshua - 6% 28% 39% 22% 4%
23 HAN Nathan 32% 42% 20% 5% 1% - -
24 LONADIER Robert 38% 44% 15% 2% - - -
25 VILLARS Philip 32% 44% 20% 4% - -
26 HIGGINS Paul 66% 29% 5% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.