NEUSFA D2/3/Vet Qualifiers

Div II Men's Épée

Sunday, April 20, 2025 at 8:30 AM

Boston Fencing Club - Boston, MA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WILSON Ian G. 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 13%
2 PESSIN Nadav 100% 100% 95% 75% 42% 12% 1%
3 MICKEY Christopher J. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 31%
3 MITSCH Aubrey 100% 99% 90% 60% 21% 2%
5 WU Chi Kuan 100% 98% 84% 48% 15% 2%
6 BANNEN Nicholas 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 16%
7 REELS Eric J. 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 28% 5%
8 KABA Elias 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 7%
9 ZHANG Roland 100% 100% 92% 65% 25% 4%
10 LI Ray 100% 98% 78% 41% 12% 2% -
11 KAIN Brad 100% 99% 87% 56% 20% 3%
12 KOPPENHEFFER Rowan 100% 100% 96% 79% 47% 16% 2%
13 MARSHALL William L. 100% 100% 96% 76% 36% 6%
14 HANNA Alexander 100% 83% 41% 10% 1% -
15 GERSEN Jacob 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 49%
16 SAMBROOK Roger C. 100% 100% 95% 74% 39% 12% 2%
17 MASSE Jack 100% 99% 88% 57% 20% 3%
18 MORI Seneca 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 17% 3%
19 OTTAVIANO Marcus 100% 99% 94% 73% 39% 12% 1%
20 MASSE Dean 100% 79% 34% 8% 1% - -
21 MERCURE Edward (Tony) 100% 99% 91% 64% 29% 7% 1%
22 HOLBROOK Joshua 100% 100% 93% 65% 26% 4%
23 HAN Nathan 100% 68% 25% 5% 1% - -
24 LONADIER Robert 100% 62% 18% 3% - - -
25 VILLARS Philip 100% 68% 24% 4% - -
26 HIGGINS Paul 100% 34% 5% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.