ROC/RPC of the Rockies

Div II Men's Épée

Saturday, April 26, 2025 at 9:00 AM

Denver Fencing Center - Denver, CO, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MUENKE Magnus 100% 99% 82% 44% 13% 2%
2 HENSLEY Roran 100% 99% 90% 63% 28% 6% -
3 YANG Ethan 100% 100% 99% 89% 56% 15%
3 OLSON Talon 100% 100% 94% 68% 28% 4%
5 MILEY Walker 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 22%
6 LEWIS-RAMIREZ Ben 100% 99% 91% 67% 33% 10% 1%
7 MALLON Jaxson 100% 100% 99% 90% 59% 17%
8 MACMILLAN Collin 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 25%
9 MARENCIK Miles 100% 100% 94% 68% 28% 4%
10 MCLAREN Mason 100% 98% 87% 59% 26% 6% 1%
11 CUMMINGS Kai 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 26%
12 EMERSON Zachary 100% 98% 83% 51% 18% 3%
13 BRUNO Timothy 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 30%
14 MAGNUSON Thomas 100% 99% 85% 47% 13% 1%
15 HOLSOPPLE Noah 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 7%
16 SCHWITZER Eliot 100% 97% 81% 49% 19% 4% -
17 AGGELER Donovan 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 12% 1%
18 EFE Joshua E. 100% 100% 100% 95% 71% 28%
19 SHULL Marc 100% 100% 93% 69% 32% 6%
20 GADBURY Logan 100% 96% 75% 39% 12% 2% -
21 MOLLINIER Angel 100% 99% 86% 49% 14% 2%
22 MALLON Jeremy 100% 98% 86% 55% 21% 3%
23 ALI Adam 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 27% 5%
24 DANIELS Jonathan 100% 100% 93% 67% 26% 4%
25 EYMAN Hans 100% 99% 86% 51% 17% 2%
26 MARTEGANI Enea 100% 79% 41% 12% 2% - -
27 MCKILLOP Matthew 100% 100% 96% 80% 49% 17% 3%
28 WARD Zachary 100% 93% 54% 16% 2% -
29 REYNOLDS Adam 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 19%
30 VARGAS Fernando 100% 96% 76% 43% 15% 3% -
31 GARRISON Shawn 100% 26% 3% - - -
32 MUENKE Torben 100% 64% 23% 5% 1% - -
33 KOUTSOUKOS James 100% 99% 94% 72% 35% 7%
34 GUROLNICK Michael 100% 78% 38% 11% 1% -
35 WYLIE Luke 100% 89% 47% 12% 1% -
36 SAMARRIPA Max 100% 90% 58% 23% 5% -
37 SCHNEIDER Ronan 100% 44% 8% 1% - -
38 HOLLOWAY IMRIE Colin 100% 34% 5% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.