ROC/RPC of the Rockies

Div I-A Men's Épée

Sunday, April 27, 2025 at 8:45 AM

Denver Fencing Center - Denver, CO, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CARRIER Gabriel A. - - - - 5% 29% 65%
2 YAMASAKI Kyle A. - - - - 5% 30% 65%
3 TAFOYA Devin D. - - - - 2% 19% 79%
3 YU Austin - 1% 7% 22% 35% 27% 8%
5 KROPP Jack - - 2% 13% 42% 43%
6 CHOI Kaiden I. - - - 3% 18% 48% 32%
7 CHRISTENSEN Parker - 1% 6% 23% 38% 26% 6%
8 LEE Jayden J. - 3% 18% 36% 31% 10% 1%
9 SUVOROV Yuly - - - 2% 17% 47% 33%
10 MUENKE Magnus 5% 26% 42% 22% 4% -
11 POWELL John M. - 1% 6% 21% 34% 28% 9%
12 KENT V David - 5% 21% 36% 28% 9% 1%
13 TOYOFUKU Ethan 2% 12% 30% 33% 18% 5% -
14 TOLLEFSON Zachary - 1% 6% 22% 36% 27% 8%
15 DANIS Blake M. - - 3% 17% 39% 34% 6%
16 AGGELER Donovan 1% 5% 21% 37% 28% 8% -
17 KOEPPEL Levi E. - 1% 7% 25% 40% 24% 3%
18 PARKER Isaiah - 1% 5% 19% 35% 31% 10%
19 MCLAREN Mason 1% 13% 35% 35% 14% 2% -
20 LIU Josh 1% 16% 35% 31% 14% 3% -
21 EFE Joshua E. 1% 5% 19% 33% 28% 12% 2%
22 ALTMAN Jeff H. - 1% 7% 22% 35% 27% 8%
23 MACMILLAN Collin - 1% 10% 31% 39% 18% 1%
24 JOHNSON Jay - 1% 9% 29% 40% 20% 1%
25 DANIELS Jonah - 3% 16% 36% 33% 12% 1%
26 KOUTSOUKOS James 13% 37% 35% 13% 2% - -
27 CUMMINGS Kai - 2% 12% 32% 37% 16% 1%
28 EMERSON Zachary 1% 20% 40% 29% 8% 1% -
29 HENSLEY Roran 8% 31% 38% 19% 4% - -
30 MALLON Jaxson - 2% 15% 36% 35% 10% 1%
31 MARENCIK Miles 21% 45% 27% 6% 1% -
32 VARGAS Fernando 34% 42% 19% 4% 1% - -
33 MOLLINIER Angel 16% 38% 32% 12% 2% - -
34 SCHWITZER Eliot 12% 40% 34% 12% 2% - -
35 PAGE Gavin - 6% 27% 44% 20% 3%
36 ISAACSON Calev 30% 45% 21% 4% - -
37 MALLON Jeremy 8% 30% 36% 20% 5% 1% -
38 PERLENFEIN Tyler J. 1% 16% 38% 33% 11% 1% -
39 KENT IV David - 7% 25% 35% 24% 8% 1%
40 LUCERO-OLSON Aydin - 1% 7% 30% 46% 17%
41 MUENKE Torben 73% 24% 3% - - - -
42 MARTEGANI Enea 45% 41% 12% 2% - - -
43 REID Wesley 26% 43% 25% 6% 1% - -
44 OLSON Talon - 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1%
45 HOLSOPPLE Noah 7% 26% 37% 23% 6% 1% -
46 ALI Adam 2% 16% 37% 32% 12% 2% -
47 HOLLOWAY IMRIE Colin 79% 19% 2% - - - -
48 MAGNUSON Thomas 15% 37% 33% 13% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.