Duel of the East Coast ROC/RJCC/RYC

Cadet Women's Foil

Saturday, May 3, 2025 at 12:30 PM

Greater Philadelphia Expo Center - Oaks, PA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 TSIMIKLIS aphrodite 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 83%
2 MCFARLANE Asha 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 41%
3 ZELDIN Nadia 100% 100% 100% 99% 86% 44%
3 BERGEL Daphne 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 65%
5 CHOI Cara 100% 89% 53% 15% 2% < 1%
6 ORBE-AUSTIN Nia 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 38%
7 ZHU Ella 100% 100% 96% 72% 29% 4%
8 ORRINGER Lottie 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 34%
9 LI Christina 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 4%
10 FEDER Acadia 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 20% 1%
11 LI savannah 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 63% 18%
12 LAVINE Samantha 100% 100% 97% 83% 46% 12% 1%
13 CHAN Jolene 100% 100% 98% 84% 49% 14% 1%
14 ORBÉ-AUSTIN Maya 100% 100% 98% 84% 46% 9%
15 SHUTZER Lily 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 21% 1%
16 LIN Yunong 100% 100% 97% 81% 42% 8%
17 SHIN Elizabeth 100% 100% 100% 94% 66% 21%
18 EPSTEIN Naomi 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 36% 5%
19 LEE Allison 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 27% 3%
20 SUN Erin 100% 98% 83% 49% 15% 2% -
21 CLARK Lillian 100% 99% 90% 61% 25% 5% -
22 LEO Jenna 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 26% 4%
23 CHUNG Stella 100% 100% 94% 71% 32% 7% -
24 GOMEZ Sofia 100% 86% 44% 12% 2% - -
25 WAN Celine 100% 99% 83% 40% 9% 1%
26 BEKIYANTS Elizabeth 100% 96% 73% 34% 8% 1% -
27 MACKINTOSH Quinn 100% 100% 94% 71% 34% 9% 1%
28 CHAN Kaitlyn 100% 96% 76% 38% 9% 1% -
29 STEWART Isla 100% 79% 36% 8% 1% - -
30 MCCORMICK Ella 100% 76% 34% 7% 1% - -
31 SONG Sarah 100% 68% 25% 5% - - -
32 OTTAVIANO Maris 100% 90% 42% 8% 1% -
33 VACCARO Lillian 100% 90% 57% 21% 4% - -
34 ZHANG Caroline 100% 82% 40% 9% 1% -
35 JUVVADI Aanika 100% 31% 3% - - -
36 GUSTAFSSON Anna 100% 61% 18% 3% - - -
37 LENZ Phoebe 100% 88% 50% 14% 2% - -
38 PIERSIG Eleanor 100% 95% 69% 29% 6% 1% -
39 BENNETT Emi 100% 77% 33% 6% 1% -
40 LEVY Zia 100% 64% 22% 4% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.