BBFC Duel in the Desert SYC, RCC & Y8

Y-12 Men's Épée

Saturday, May 3, 2025 at 1:00 PM

Rio Hotel and Casino - Las Vegas, NV, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 FU Nolan 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 37%
2 WONG Aaron 100% 100% 100% 94% 68% 22%
3 RONG Marcus 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 29%
3 DU Evan 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 68%
5 XUE Michael 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 45%
6 HWANG Matthew 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 21%
7 KIM Leejay 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 34% 6%
8 LEE Leo 100% 100% 96% 82% 54% 23% 4%
9 KIM Julian 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 37%
10 MOSLEY Wally 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 37%
11 PARRA Lucas 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 25% 3%
12 WU MiEr 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 21%
13 RAU Shogun 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 31% 6%
14 LIU Xuyao 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 40% 9%
15 ZHANG Chaoyi(Joey) 100% 100% 97% 82% 45% 10%
16 CHANG Matthew 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 23%
17 WANG Lucas 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 21%
18 WU Nathan 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 19%
19 SCHIPPER Johann 100% 100% 98% 86% 58% 23% 3%
20 MOU Jaydon 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 74% 33%
21 PARKE Nathaniel 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 42%
22 ROBERTS Arthur 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 11%
23 LIN Daniel 100% 99% 91% 69% 38% 12% 2%
24 YI Alexander 100% 99% 94% 73% 38% 11% 1%
25 YUN Nicholas 100% 98% 84% 52% 18% 3% -
26 SHOURIE Neel 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 12% 1%
27 MA Nolan 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 22%
28 YAO Tristan 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 60% 20%
28 YU Brandon 100% 100% 99% 89% 62% 25% 4%
30 WONG Kyle 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 21% 3%
31 HUA Nolan 100% 99% 90% 67% 35% 11% 2%
32 ENG Kyler 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 33%
33 WANG Juehan 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 15% 2%
34 LIN Bryan 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 37% 8%
35 HANTOV Adrian 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 13%
36 CHEN Aiden 100% 99% 92% 63% 24% 4%
37 WONG Alexander 100% 100% 99% 89% 64% 28% 5%
38 FU Benjamin 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 14% 2%
39 LI Vance 100% 100% 95% 78% 45% 15% 2%
40 YUE Bryan 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 22% 4%
40 HUR Tyson 100% 90% 59% 24% 6% 1% -
42 WU James 100% 95% 71% 34% 9% 1% -
43 SHOURIE Seth 100% 99% 93% 73% 42% 15% 2%
44 TIAN Dylan 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 11% 1%
45 CHEN Linus 100% 99% 92% 67% 30% 7% 1%
46 LIU Aiden 100% 99% 91% 58% 18% 2%
47 GUO Jonathan 100% 100% 99% 91% 57% 19% 2%
48 KO Ethan 100% 97% 79% 44% 13% 2% -
49 LEE Joshua 100% 99% 93% 69% 33% 7% -
50 NOLAN Morgan 100% 78% 38% 10% 2% - -
51 LEE Lucas 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 9%
52 LEUNG Joon 100% 99% 93% 70% 35% 10% 1%
53 NGUYEN Ethan V. 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 13% 1%
54 LAU Caleb 100% 99% 88% 59% 25% 6% -
55 JU Shang 100% 99% 87% 56% 23% 5% -
56 PARADKAR Akshay 100% 98% 83% 49% 16% 3% -
57 SAMOYLOV Daniel 100% 97% 80% 47% 17% 3% -
58 WANG Mason 100% 99% 93% 72% 39% 11% 1%
59 SUN Jiarui (Jerry) 100% 100% 96% 83% 55% 23% 5%
60 BEN-YOSEPH Rafael 100% 97% 82% 49% 18% 3% -
61 PARK Sean 100% 96% 74% 37% 11% 2% -
62 LI Kingston 100% 94% 68% 30% 7% 1% -
63 PLUMMER Kellan 100% 100% 96% 79% 47% 15% 2%
64 ZHAO Luke 100% 91% 64% 31% 9% 2% -
65 YOO Lucas 100% 98% 83% 48% 15% 2%
66 DING Max 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 7%
67 FONG Ethan 100% 88% 55% 21% 4% - -
68 SI Alexander 100% 88% 51% 17% 3% - -
69 SZETO Zachary 100% 82% 43% 13% 2% - -
70 YUN Mason 100% 98% 85% 53% 19% 3% -
71 YOON Ian 100% 98% 80% 40% 9% 1%
72 ZHANG JENSON 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 16% 2%
73 SHIH Derek 100% 100% 93% 68% 32% 8% 1%
74 CHAN Joseph 100% 93% 65% 27% 6% 1% -
75 CHEN Christopher 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 21% 3%
76 CAVALLARO Sebastian 100% 92% 56% 19% 3% -
77 HAO hardy 100% 37% 6% - - -
78 LI Stephen 100% 100% 100% 95% 78% 42% 10%
79 CHI Zachary 100% 88% 50% 16% 3% - -
79 ELARDO Griffin 100% 95% 70% 33% 8% 1% -
81 CHAUDHARY Oliver 100% 87% 52% 18% 3% - -
82 CAVALLARO Xavier 100% 91% 61% 26% 6% 1% -
83 LI Connor 100% 97% 79% 43% 13% 2% -
84 ZHAO Kyle Zekai 100% 96% 78% 46% 18% 4% -
85 TENG Eric 100% 97% 80% 47% 17% 3% -
86 CHU Clayton 100% 87% 54% 21% 4% - -
87 WANG Franklin 100% 84% 47% 15% 2% - -
88 LI Ethan 100% 92% 56% 19% 4% - -
89 DEMIRCHIAN Edward 100% 78% 38% 11% 2% - -
90 MATUSOW Brandon 100% 99% 87% 55% 21% 3% -
91 YANG Rony 100% 73% 31% 7% 1% - -
91 KOU Logan 100% 85% 42% 8% 1% - -
93 LAU Jesse 100% 83% 40% 8% 1% - -
94 GAN Samuel 100% 71% 25% 3% - - -
95 LIU Yihong 100% 99% 92% 70% 35% 10% 1%
96 ZHU Jayden 100% 51% 12% 1% - -
97 VENERACION Marcus 100% 92% 53% 15% 2% -
98 TAN Yichen 100% 47% 10% 1% - - -
98 KIM Christian 100% 66% 23% 4% - - -
98 LU Mark 100% 46% 10% 1% - - -
101 LU Jayden 100% 64% 22% 4% - - -
101 WON Jacob 100% 83% 44% 13% 2% - -
103 LEE Connor 100% 60% 18% 3% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.