BBFC Duel in the Desert SYC, RCC & Y8

Y-12 Men's Épée

Saturday, May 3, 2025 at 1:00 PM

Rio Hotel and Casino - Las Vegas, NV, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 FU Nolan - - - 3% 18% 42% 37%
2 WONG Aaron - - 6% 26% 46% 22%
3 RONG Marcus - - 1% 6% 22% 42% 29%
3 DU Evan - - - - 4% 28% 68%
5 XUE Michael - - - 2% 13% 39% 45%
6 HWANG Matthew - - - 7% 28% 43% 21%
7 KIM Leejay - - 4% 22% 40% 28% 6%
8 LEE Leo - 3% 14% 28% 31% 18% 4%
9 KIM Julian - - - 4% 18% 41% 37%
10 MOSLEY Wally - - 2% 16% 45% 37%
11 PARRA Lucas - 1% 8% 27% 39% 23% 3%
12 WU MiEr - - 1% 7% 29% 43% 21%
13 RAU Shogun - 1% 6% 23% 38% 26% 6%
14 LIU Xuyao - - 4% 19% 37% 31% 9%
15 ZHANG Chaoyi(Joey) - 3% 16% 37% 35% 10%
16 CHANG Matthew - - 1% 7% 27% 43% 23%
17 WANG Lucas - - 1% 9% 28% 41% 21%
18 WU Nathan - - 1% 9% 29% 41% 19%
19 SCHIPPER Johann - 2% 11% 28% 35% 20% 3%
20 MOU Jaydon - - 1% 5% 20% 42% 33%
21 PARKE Nathaniel - - - 3% 15% 40% 42%
22 ROBERTS Arthur - - 4% 17% 36% 33% 11%
23 LIN Daniel 1% 8% 22% 32% 25% 11% 2%
24 YI Alexander 1% 6% 21% 34% 27% 10% 1%
25 YUN Nicholas 2% 14% 33% 33% 15% 3% -
26 SHOURIE Neel - 4% 18% 35% 31% 11% 1%
27 MA Nolan - - 2% 9% 27% 39% 22%
28 YAO Tristan - - 1% 9% 29% 40% 20%
28 YU Brandon - 1% 9% 28% 37% 21% 4%
30 WONG Kyle - 2% 11% 30% 36% 19% 3%
31 HUA Nolan 1% 9% 23% 32% 24% 10% 2%
32 ENG Kyler - - 4% 20% 43% 33%
33 WANG Juehan - 3% 15% 34% 33% 13% 2%
34 LIN Bryan - 1% 6% 20% 36% 29% 8%
35 HANTOV Adrian - - 3% 14% 34% 36% 13%
36 CHEN Aiden 1% 8% 28% 39% 21% 4%
37 WONG Alexander - 1% 9% 26% 35% 23% 5%
38 FU Benjamin - 4% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2%
39 LI Vance - 4% 17% 33% 31% 13% 2%
40 YUE Bryan - 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 4%
40 HUR Tyson 10% 31% 34% 19% 5% 1% -
42 WU James 5% 24% 37% 25% 8% 1% -
43 SHOURIE Seth 1% 6% 20% 31% 27% 12% 2%
44 TIAN Dylan 1% 6% 21% 34% 27% 10% 1%
45 CHEN Linus 1% 7% 26% 36% 23% 6% 1%
46 LIU Aiden 1% 9% 33% 40% 16% 2%
47 GUO Jonathan - 1% 8% 34% 38% 16% 2%
48 KO Ethan 3% 18% 35% 31% 11% 2% -
49 LEE Joshua 1% 6% 24% 37% 25% 7% -
50 NOLAN Morgan 22% 41% 27% 9% 1% - -
51 LEE Lucas - - 4% 17% 36% 34% 9%
52 LEUNG Joon 1% 6% 22% 35% 26% 9% 1%
53 NGUYEN Ethan V. - 3% 16% 34% 33% 12% 1%
54 LAU Caleb 1% 11% 29% 34% 19% 5% -
55 JU Shang 1% 12% 31% 33% 18% 4% -
56 PARADKAR Akshay 2% 15% 35% 32% 14% 3% -
57 SAMOYLOV Daniel 3% 17% 33% 30% 14% 3% -
58 WANG Mason 1% 6% 21% 34% 27% 10% 1%
59 SUN Jiarui (Jerry) - 3% 13% 28% 32% 19% 5%
60 BEN-YOSEPH Rafael 3% 16% 32% 31% 15% 3% -
61 PARK Sean 4% 23% 37% 26% 9% 2% -
62 LI Kingston 6% 26% 37% 23% 6% 1% -
63 PLUMMER Kellan - 4% 16% 33% 31% 13% 2%
64 ZHAO Luke 9% 27% 33% 22% 8% 1% -
65 YOO Lucas 2% 15% 35% 33% 13% 2%
66 DING Max - 1% 6% 21% 36% 28% 7%
67 FONG Ethan 12% 33% 34% 16% 4% - -
68 SI Alexander 12% 37% 34% 14% 3% - -
69 SZETO Zachary 18% 38% 30% 11% 2% - -
70 YUN Mason 2% 13% 32% 34% 16% 3% -
71 YOON Ian 2% 18% 40% 31% 9% 1%
72 ZHANG JENSON - 4% 16% 32% 32% 14% 2%
73 SHIH Derek - 7% 24% 37% 24% 7% 1%
74 CHAN Joseph 7% 28% 37% 21% 5% 1% -
75 CHEN Christopher - 3% 13% 30% 34% 18% 3%
76 CAVALLARO Sebastian 8% 36% 37% 16% 3% -
77 HAO hardy 63% 32% 5% - - -
78 LI Stephen - < 1% 4% 18% 36% 32% 10%
79 CHI Zachary 12% 38% 34% 13% 2% - -
79 ELARDO Griffin 5% 24% 37% 25% 7% 1% -
81 CHAUDHARY Oliver 13% 35% 34% 15% 3% - -
82 CAVALLARO Xavier 9% 30% 35% 20% 5% 1% -
83 LI Connor 3% 18% 36% 30% 11% 2% -
84 ZHAO Kyle Zekai 4% 18% 31% 28% 14% 4% -
85 TENG Eric 3% 17% 33% 30% 14% 3% -
86 CHU Clayton 13% 33% 33% 16% 4% - -
87 WANG Franklin 16% 37% 32% 13% 2% - -
88 LI Ethan 8% 36% 37% 16% 3% - -
89 DEMIRCHIAN Edward 22% 40% 27% 9% 2% - -
90 MATUSOW Brandon 1% 12% 32% 35% 17% 3% -
91 YANG Rony 27% 42% 24% 6% 1% - -
91 KOU Logan 15% 42% 34% 8% 1% - -
93 LAU Jesse 17% 43% 33% 7% 1% - -
94 GAN Samuel 29% 46% 22% 3% - - -
95 LIU Yihong 1% 7% 22% 34% 26% 9% 1%
96 ZHU Jayden 49% 39% 11% 1% - -
97 VENERACION Marcus 8% 39% 39% 13% 2% -
98 TAN Yichen 53% 37% 9% 1% - - -
98 KIM Christian 34% 43% 19% 4% - - -
98 LU Mark 54% 36% 9% 1% - - -
101 LU Jayden 36% 42% 18% 3% - - -
101 WON Jacob 17% 39% 31% 11% 2% - -
103 LEE Connor 40% 42% 15% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.