May the 4th Foil Tournament

Div III Mixed Foil

Sunday, May 4, 2025 at 9:00 AM

Avant Garde Fencers Club - Los Angeles, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHOY Benedict W. - 2% 13% 30% 34% 18% 3%
2 VARIDIREDDY Suhan - 5% 20% 34% 28% 10% 1%
3 ROSE Jacob W. 3% 14% 31% 32% 17% 3%
3 GENER Alejandro 1% 6% 20% 33% 28% 11% 1%
5 CHARETTE Matthew - 4% 16% 33% 32% 13% 2%
6 LEE Lucas 11% 33% 35% 17% 4% < 1% -
7 TRUJILLO Jonah 3% 15% 31% 32% 16% 3%
8 CHARETTE Alex 1% 10% 27% 35% 21% 5%
9 KANT Jasper 11% 32% 35% 18% 4% < 1% -
10 SMITH Jeremiah 1% 8% 24% 35% 25% 7%
11 MCCARVILL Cooper 1% 10% 27% 35% 22% 5%
12 TRAN Matthew 1% 9% 26% 35% 23% 6% 1%
13 JEREZ PINE Luca - 3% 13% 31% 35% 16% 2%
14 KNIGHT Rollan 1% 7% 23% 35% 25% 8% 1%
15 LIM Richard M. - < 1% - 4% 17% 41% 37%
16 KAZIMIROFF Paul B. - < 1% - 1% 10% 38% 50%
17 LEE Colin 15% 36% 32% 14% 3% - -
18 WARD Mads 27% 42% 24% 6% 1% - -
19 OLAUGHLIN Jasper 3% 15% 32% 32% 16% 3% -
20 HO Hammond 21% 39% 28% 10% 2% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.