May the 4th Foil Tournament

Div III Mixed Foil

Sunday, May 4, 2025 at 9:00 AM

Avant Garde Fencers Club - Los Angeles, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHOY Benedict W. 100% 100% 98% 85% 55% 21% 3%
2 VARIDIREDDY Suhan 100% 100% 94% 74% 40% 12% 1%
3 ROSE Jacob W. 100% 97% 83% 52% 20% 3%
3 GENER Alejandro 100% 99% 93% 73% 40% 12% 1%
5 CHARETTE Matthew 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 15% 2%
6 LEE Lucas 100% 89% 55% 21% 4% < 1% -
7 TRUJILLO Jonah 100% 97% 83% 51% 19% 3%
8 CHARETTE Alex 100% 99% 88% 61% 27% 5%
9 KANT Jasper 100% 89% 57% 23% 5% < 1% -
10 SMITH Jeremiah 100% 99% 91% 67% 31% 7%
11 MCCARVILL Cooper 100% 99% 89% 62% 27% 5%
12 TRAN Matthew 100% 99% 90% 64% 30% 7% 1%
13 JEREZ PINE Luca 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 18% 2%
14 KNIGHT Rollan 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 9% 1%
15 LIM Richard M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 37%
16 KAZIMIROFF Paul B. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 50%
17 LEE Colin 100% 85% 49% 17% 3% - -
18 WARD Mads 100% 73% 31% 7% 1% - -
19 OLAUGHLIN Jasper 100% 97% 83% 51% 19% 4% -
20 HO Hammond 100% 79% 41% 12% 2% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.