BBFC Duel in the Desert SYC, RCC & Y8

Y-14 Men's Épée

Sunday, May 4, 2025 at 1:00 PM

Rio Hotel and Casino - Las Vegas, NV, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WU Johnny y. - - - 2% 11% 38% 50%
2 LOISEAU Oscar - - - 3% 15% 40% 42%
3 HERNDON Liam - - 1% 4% 19% 41% 36%
3 FU Nolan - 1% 6% 21% 36% 28% 8%
5 MULCAHY Sebastian - - 1% 9% 29% 42% 19%
6 MEHROTRA Neel - - - 4% 19% 42% 35%
7 LEE Royce - - 1% 5% 21% 44% 30%
8 RONG Gordon - - 1% 9% 28% 40% 22%
9 MA Nolan - 1% 6% 23% 39% 26% 5%
10 HERBRANDSON Luke - 1% 5% 22% 42% 30%
11 LEE Daniel - 4% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2%
12 DENG Henry - 1% 9% 28% 37% 21% 4%
13 LI Grayson - 1% 8% 25% 37% 24% 5%
13 PARKE Nathaniel - - 4% 17% 35% 32% 11%
15 DENG Destin 3% 15% 31% 31% 16% 4% -
16 XIE HanZhang (Elon) 1% 9% 27% 35% 21% 6% 1%
17 MOU Jaydon - 2% 13% 31% 34% 17% 3%
18 ZHANG Chaoyi(Joey) 1% 8% 23% 34% 25% 8% 1%
19 ADDLEMAN Joshua - - - 4% 21% 43% 31%
20 MAXU Tiger - 1% 7% 24% 37% 25% 6%
21 TUBALTSEV Evan - - 4% 17% 35% 34% 11%
22 ENG Kyler - 3% 14% 32% 33% 15% 2%
23 ZHANG Austin - 2% 10% 29% 40% 20%
24 VOO Lucas - - 2% 13% 35% 37% 13%
25 LIN Jason 3% 17% 32% 30% 14% 3% -
26 GADHVI Darius - 3% 13% 29% 33% 18% 3%
27 HUA Nolan 6% 25% 37% 24% 7% 1%
28 KIM Leejay 4% 19% 35% 30% 11% 2%
29 MOSLEY Wally 1% 6% 23% 38% 26% 6%
30 GACIOCH Noah - - 1% 7% 25% 41% 26%
31 CHEN Ryan - - 1% 6% 22% 41% 30%
32 SU Samuel - 2% 9% 26% 36% 22% 4%
33 XUE Michael - 1% 6% 21% 35% 29% 8%
34 GREENMAN Duke 1% 7% 25% 38% 24% 5%
35 DU Evan - - 1% 7% 25% 41% 25%
36 FU Adrian 1% 9% 30% 36% 20% 5% -
37 WU MiEr - 4% 17% 33% 31% 13% 1%
38 LIN Daniel 4% 19% 34% 28% 12% 2% -
39 WU Nathan - 4% 17% 34% 32% 12% 2%
39 CHANG Matthew - 5% 20% 35% 29% 10% 1%
41 KIM Remington - 1% 7% 23% 36% 27% 7%
42 KIM Julian - 2% 12% 31% 38% 17%
43 WANG Lucas 1% 7% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1%
44 MA Ryan - 2% 11% 28% 36% 20% 3%
45 ROBERTS Arthur 1% 12% 31% 34% 17% 4% -
46 JU Shang 17% 42% 30% 10% 2% - -
47 SUROV Alexander - 4% 19% 35% 29% 11% 2%
48 KIM Evan 2% 12% 28% 33% 20% 6% 1%
49 YAO Tristan - 6% 22% 36% 26% 9% 1%
49 WONG Kyle 3% 18% 34% 30% 13% 2% -
51 AUYEUNG Aedan Ho lam 1% 8% 25% 34% 24% 8% 1%
52 LEE Damien - - 1% 9% 27% 40% 23%
53 WANG Dylan 10% 33% 36% 18% 4% -
54 WANG Juehan 4% 18% 34% 30% 13% 2% -
54 LI Vance 16% 35% 31% 14% 3% - -
56 LIN Bryan 3% 19% 35% 30% 11% 2% -
57 LIU Xuyao 2% 14% 32% 33% 16% 3% -
58 LEE Davidson 16% 44% 30% 9% 1% - -
59 RONG Marcus - 3% 17% 35% 31% 12% 2%
60 LEE Joshua 30% 42% 22% 5% 1% -
61 HWANG Matthew 3% 18% 36% 31% 11% 1%
62 NGUYEN Ethan V. 5% 23% 36% 25% 9% 1% -
63 YU Brandon 6% 23% 35% 25% 9% 2% -
64 YOON Ian 5% 26% 40% 23% 6% 1% -
65 OR Anson 41% 42% 15% 2% - - -
66 LEE Leo - 5% 22% 38% 26% 7% 1%
67 MILLER Xavier 27% 41% 24% 7% 1% - -
68 MENG Haoyi - 3% 13% 30% 34% 17% 3%
69 YUE Bryan 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3% -
70 DING Max 5% 22% 34% 26% 11% 2% -
71 LEE Lucas 2% 13% 31% 33% 17% 4% -
72 BROWN Korbyn 1% 5% 19% 33% 29% 12% 2%
73 WONG Alexander 4% 18% 33% 29% 13% 3% -
74 ROSENBERG Alex 27% 42% 23% 6% 1% - -
75 LIU Aiden 10% 31% 36% 18% 4% -
76 GUO Jonathan 12% 33% 35% 17% 4% -
77 SCHIPPER Johann 2% 12% 31% 34% 17% 4% -
78 LIU Yihong 6% 28% 37% 22% 6% 1% -
79 LAU Caleb 29% 42% 23% 6% 1% - -
80 KOU Mason 8% 26% 34% 22% 8% 1% -
81 CHEN Christopher 14% 36% 33% 14% 3% - -
82 SUN Jiarui (Jerry) 6% 26% 37% 24% 7% 1% -
83 CHEN Linus 15% 38% 32% 12% 2% - -
84 PARK Sean 10% 35% 37% 16% 3% - -
85 HUR Tyson 23% 40% 27% 9% 1% - -
86 WU James 45% 40% 13% 2% - - -
87 SHIH Derek 25% 42% 25% 7% 1% - -
88 CHAN Joseph 44% 42% 12% 2% - - -
89 LI Connor 35% 43% 18% 3% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.