BBFC Duel in the Desert SYC, RCC & Y8

Y-14 Men's Épée

Sunday, May 4, 2025 at 1:00 PM

Rio Hotel and Casino - Las Vegas, NV, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WU Johnny y. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 50%
2 LOISEAU Oscar 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 42%
3 HERNDON Liam 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 36%
3 FU Nolan 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 35% 8%
5 MULCAHY Sebastian 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 19%
6 MEHROTRA Neel 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 35%
7 LEE Royce 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 74% 30%
8 RONG Gordon 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 22%
9 MA Nolan 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 31% 5%
10 HERBRANDSON Luke 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 30%
11 LEE Daniel 100% 100% 96% 78% 44% 14% 2%
12 DENG Henry 100% 100% 99% 89% 61% 25% 4%
13 LI Grayson 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 29% 5%
13 PARKE Nathaniel 100% 100% 100% 95% 78% 43% 11%
15 DENG Destin 100% 97% 82% 52% 20% 4% -
16 XIE HanZhang (Elon) 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 6% 1%
17 MOU Jaydon 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 3%
18 ZHANG Chaoyi(Joey) 100% 99% 91% 68% 34% 9% 1%
19 ADDLEMAN Joshua 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 32%
20 MAXU Tiger 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 6%
21 TUBALTSEV Evan 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 11%
22 ENG Kyler 100% 100% 97% 82% 51% 17% 2%
23 ZHANG Austin 100% 100% 98% 89% 60% 20%
24 VOO Lucas 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 50% 13%
25 LIN Jason 100% 97% 80% 48% 18% 3% -
26 GADHVI Darius 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 21% 3%
27 HUA Nolan 100% 94% 68% 31% 7% 1%
28 KIM Leejay 100% 96% 78% 43% 13% 2%
29 MOSLEY Wally 100% 99% 93% 70% 32% 6%
30 GACIOCH Noah 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 26%
31 CHEN Ryan 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 31%
32 SU Samuel 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 26% 4%
33 XUE Michael 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 8%
34 GREENMAN Duke 100% 99% 92% 67% 29% 5%
35 DU Evan 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 25%
36 FU Adrian 100% 99% 91% 61% 25% 5% -
37 WU MiEr 100% 100% 95% 78% 45% 14% 1%
38 LIN Daniel 100% 96% 77% 42% 14% 2% -
39 WU Nathan 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 14% 2%
39 CHANG Matthew 100% 100% 95% 75% 40% 12% 1%
41 KIM Remington 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 34% 7%
42 KIM Julian 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 17%
43 WANG Lucas 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 9% 1%
44 MA Ryan 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 23% 3%
45 ROBERTS Arthur 100% 99% 86% 55% 21% 4% -
46 JU Shang 100% 83% 42% 12% 2% - -
47 SUROV Alexander 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 12% 2%
48 KIM Evan 100% 98% 86% 59% 26% 6% 1%
49 YAO Tristan 100% 100% 94% 72% 36% 10% 1%
49 WONG Kyle 100% 97% 79% 45% 15% 2% -
51 AUYEUNG Aedan Ho lam 100% 99% 91% 66% 32% 8% 1%
52 LEE Damien 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 23%
53 WANG Dylan 100% 90% 58% 22% 4% -
54 WANG Juehan 100% 96% 78% 45% 15% 2% -
54 LI Vance 100% 84% 49% 17% 4% - -
56 LIN Bryan 100% 97% 78% 43% 13% 2% -
57 LIU Xuyao 100% 98% 85% 53% 19% 3% -
58 LEE Davidson 100% 84% 40% 10% 1% - -
59 RONG Marcus 100% 100% 97% 80% 45% 14% 2%
60 LEE Joshua 100% 70% 28% 6% 1% -
61 HWANG Matthew 100% 97% 79% 43% 13% 1%
62 NGUYEN Ethan V. 100% 95% 71% 36% 10% 2% -
63 YU Brandon 100% 94% 71% 36% 11% 2% -
64 YOON Ian 100% 95% 69% 29% 6% 1% -
65 OR Anson 100% 59% 17% 2% - - -
66 LEE Leo 100% 100% 94% 72% 34% 8% 1%
67 MILLER Xavier 100% 73% 32% 8% 1% - -
68 MENG Haoyi 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 21% 3%
69 YUE Bryan 100% 97% 82% 50% 18% 3% -
70 DING Max 100% 95% 73% 39% 13% 2% -
71 LEE Lucas 100% 98% 85% 54% 21% 4% -
72 BROWN Korbyn 100% 99% 94% 76% 43% 14% 2%
73 WONG Alexander 100% 96% 78% 45% 16% 3% -
74 ROSENBERG Alex 100% 73% 30% 7% 1% - -
75 LIU Aiden 100% 90% 58% 23% 5% -
76 GUO Jonathan 100% 88% 55% 20% 4% -
77 SCHIPPER Johann 100% 98% 86% 55% 21% 4% -
78 LIU Yihong 100% 94% 66% 29% 7% 1% -
79 LAU Caleb 100% 71% 29% 6% 1% - -
80 KOU Mason 100% 92% 65% 31% 9% 1% -
81 CHEN Christopher 100% 86% 50% 17% 3% - -
82 SUN Jiarui (Jerry) 100% 94% 67% 31% 7% 1% -
83 CHEN Linus 100% 85% 47% 15% 3% - -
84 PARK Sean 100% 90% 56% 19% 3% - -
85 HUR Tyson 100% 77% 37% 10% 2% - -
86 WU James 100% 55% 15% 2% - - -
87 SHIH Derek 100% 75% 33% 8% 1% - -
88 CHAN Joseph 100% 56% 14% 2% - - -
89 LI Connor 100% 65% 22% 4% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.