Fairfax Challenge ROC(DV1A, DV2, VET), RJCC, RYC & PARA

Cadet Women's Épée

Friday, May 9, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Fredericksburg Convention Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 KROPP Anne (Charlie) - - - 2% 14% 40% 43%
2 BURT Emmalyne Grace 1% 7% 28% 44% 19% 2%
3 PILSON Rebecca - - 1% 5% 20% 42% 32%
3 OLELE Ifechi - - 5% 25% 45% 25%
5 LEE Kate - 1% 6% 22% 36% 28% 7%
6 SHETH Anayaà - 3% 15% 32% 33% 15% 2%
7 SILVA Hailey 5% 22% 35% 26% 9% 2% -
8 CHEN Ava - 1% 8% 26% 37% 23% 4%
9 LI Xier - 2% 13% 30% 35% 17% 3%
10 PORTER Cora - - 3% 17% 47% 33%
11 MORET Teagan 37% 41% 18% 4% - - -
12 ZHANG Yuchen A. 1% 11% 29% 35% 19% 5% -
13 WU Madisen 9% 34% 40% 16% 2% -
14 REARDON Isabella 11% 31% 35% 18% 5% 1% -
15 ZHU Danielle Jade 17% 42% 31% 9% 1% -
16 REYES Camila 2% 13% 31% 33% 17% 4% -
17 SHIN Jamie 6% 26% 37% 24% 7% 1% -
18 TOBY kaja 1% 9% 25% 34% 23% 7% 1%
19 NAPOLI Eleanor 23% 43% 26% 7% 1% -
20 KWON Claire 14% 35% 33% 15% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.