Fairfax Challenge ROC(DV1A, DV2, VET), RJCC, RYC & PARA

Cadet Women's Épée

Friday, May 9, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Fredericksburg Convention Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 KROPP Anne (Charlie) 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 43%
2 BURT Emmalyne Grace 100% 99% 93% 65% 21% 2%
3 PILSON Rebecca 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 74% 32%
3 OLELE Ifechi 100% 100% 100% 94% 70% 25%
5 LEE Kate 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 7%
6 SHETH Anayaà 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 17% 2%
7 SILVA Hailey 100% 95% 72% 37% 11% 2% -
8 CHEN Ava 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 28% 4%
9 LI Xier 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 20% 3%
10 PORTER Cora 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 33%
11 MORET Teagan 100% 63% 22% 4% - - -
12 ZHANG Yuchen A. 100% 99% 88% 58% 24% 5% -
13 WU Madisen 100% 91% 58% 18% 2% -
14 REARDON Isabella 100% 89% 58% 23% 5% 1% -
15 ZHU Danielle Jade 100% 83% 41% 10% 1% -
16 REYES Camila 100% 98% 86% 55% 22% 4% -
17 SHIN Jamie 100% 94% 69% 32% 8% 1% -
18 TOBY kaja 100% 99% 90% 65% 32% 8% 1%
19 NAPOLI Eleanor 100% 77% 34% 8% 1% -
20 KWON Claire 100% 86% 52% 19% 4% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.