Fairfax Challenge ROC(DV1A, DV2, VET), RJCC, RYC & PARA

Div II Men's Foil

Saturday, May 10, 2025 at 1:30 PM

Fredericksburg Convention Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 GRIFFITH MCALLISTER Thomas 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 67%
2 WHEELOCK Bryan M. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 24%
3 LIM Charlie 100% 100% 96% 78% 39% 6%
3 BELOKON Sammy 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 17% 2%
5 METZ Mason 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 12%
6 PRUT Anton 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 11%
7 HAN Alexander 100% 100% 95% 75% 38% 8%
8 LU Nathan 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 21%
9 SMOLICH Marat 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 37%
10 YU William 100% 100% 97% 80% 44% 11%
11 CLARK Benjamin 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 15%
12 TAM Kyle 100% 99% 91% 62% 22% 2%
13 EMENHEISER Conrad 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 54%
14 POWELL Sean 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 21% 3%
15 GORLOVITZKI Amitai 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 18% 2%
16 FERRONE Nate 100% 93% 59% 21% 4% - -
17 ELSAYED Ahmed 100% 99% 90% 64% 30% 8% 1%
18 YANG David H. 100% 99% 90% 66% 33% 8% 1%
19 GADIYARAM Madhav 100% 99% 89% 64% 30% 7% -
20 GRINER Kevin 100% 98% 85% 55% 23% 5% -
21 HARWOOD Gray 100% 98% 87% 59% 26% 6% -
22 SMITH Finnley 100% 99% 91% 65% 29% 5%
23 DELANNES-MOLKA Daniel 100% 100% 94% 71% 33% 8% 1%
24 SHEA William 100% 94% 66% 27% 5% -
25 SALAZAR Tomas D. 100% 99% 90% 62% 26% 5%
26 CLARK Robert 100% 99% 90% 61% 24% 4%
27 RAMESH Prashvin 100% 89% 59% 25% 6% 1% -
28 PHILLIPS Oliver 100% 63% 20% 3% - -
29 KARLEKAR Ved 100% 68% 25% 5% - -
30 CHAN Geoffrey 100% 98% 83% 48% 16% 2% -
31 HAN Nathan 100% 46% 10% 1% - - -
32 LEE Noah 100% 83% 41% 11% 1% -
33 MACKAY Ian 100% 53% 14% 2% - -
34 BAZZLE Christopher E. 100% 97% 81% 50% 19% 3% -
35 FLYNN Oliver 100% 78% 39% 11% 2% - -
36 SINGH Meet 100% 89% 54% 19% 4% -
37 LAZAREANU Justin 100% 92% 65% 30% 8% 1% -
38 RHEE Josiah 100% 97% 80% 48% 18% 3% -
39 ERTZBERGER Joel 100% 95% 69% 28% 5% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.