Fairfax Challenge ROC(DV1A, DV2, VET), RJCC, RYC & PARA

Y-12 Men's Épée

Saturday, May 10, 2025 at 2:00 PM

Fredericksburg Convention Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 KIM Gene 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 77%
2 BORAN Brooks 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 47%
3 KROPP Wesley 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 82%
3 XIANG Wangzhi 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 79%
5 MEDISETTI Arjun 100% 100% 98% 86% 49% 6%
6 WU Jiachen 100% 99% 89% 56% 18% 1%
7 FEELY Benjamin 100% 98% 84% 51% 18% 2%
8 YU Jeremy 100% 100% 95% 74% 33% 3%
10 CHA Aiden 100% 98% 83% 45% 10%
11 STRAFFORD Andrew 100% 99% 90% 65% 30% 7% -
12 KIM Daniel 100% 100% 99% 89% 56% 14%
13 KELLY Blair 100% 99% 89% 59% 23% 4%
14 GALBRAITH Carson 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 25% 2%
14 WEI Jayden 100% 97% 81% 49% 17% 3% -
16 SCOTTODIMARCO James 100% 93% 67% 32% 8% 1% -
17 ALPSOY Emir 100% 100% 98% 86% 45%
18 SERGEANT Henry 100% 98% 83% 49% 16% 2% -
19 MAXWELL Taiga 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 17% 1%
20 ZHOU Silvan 100% 99% 93% 68% 31% 6% -
21 KONG Ethan 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 12%
22 BURT Jonathan Parker 100% 68% 25% 4% - -
23 DING Charlie 100% 99% 92% 63% 21% 2%
24 YOU Asher 100% 97% 80% 43% 11% 1%
25 MILLER Xavier 100% 94% 69% 33% 8% 1%
26 ZHUKOV Egor 100% 97% 78% 39% 8% -
27 LEE Taeryum 100% 94% 71% 35% 9% 1%
28 KUYKENDALL Lucas 100% 59% 15% 1% -
29 KUYKENDALL Logan 100% 84% 47% 16% 3% - -
30 SUK Kwon 100% 90% 56% 19% 3% -
31 KIM Siwoo 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 3% -
32 SHULL Matthias 100% 99% 92% 66% 29% 6%
33 REYNOLDS CHANG Luke 100% 100% 100% 94% 68% 22%
34 HAM Ian 100% 93% 68% 31% 7% 1%
35 SMITH Noah 100% 86% 46% 13% 2% -
36 SAFAI Bardia 100% 90% 51% 15% 2% -
37 MORET Declan 100% 70% 28% 6% 1% - -
38 CHUNG Daehyun Daniel 100% 88% 52% 15% 1%
39 QU ethan 100% 97% 75% 33% 6% -
40 CHONG Nikolai 100% 49% 11% 1% - -
41 FEELY Samuel 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 17% 1%
42 KABEALO Charles 100% 68% 26% 5% 1% -
42 BRADSHAW Benjamin 100% 99% 74% 27% 2%
44 DOUGLAS James 100% 89% 52% 18% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.