2025 BFC Youth Series 4

Unrated Y-12 Mixed Épée

Saturday, May 10, 2025 at 2:00 PM

Boston Fencing Club - Boston, MA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 SCHLUBACH Jasper 1% 10% 27% 36% 21% 5%
2 NOVAK Luke 6% 26% 38% 24% 5%
3 CHEN Allison 1% 11% 32% 38% 16% 1%
3 WILLIAMS Gavin 4% 19% 35% 29% 11% 1%
5 LI Jayden - - 4% 33% 63%
6 CHEN Hayden 7% 27% 39% 23% 4%
7 YIN Elaine 6% 27% 40% 23% 4%
8 GRUDZINSKI Josephine 29% 46% 22% 4% -
9 BURDICK Elijah - 2% 12% 31% 38% 18%
10 HAMILTON Tyler 14% 35% 33% 14% 3% -
11 ZOU Grant 6% 24% 35% 25% 9% 1%
12 RUDIGER George 4% 19% 34% 30% 12% 2%
13 MILLER Brodrick 9% 29% 36% 20% 5% 1%
14 JIN Serena 8% 29% 38% 21% 4%
15 YU MAXIMILIAN 17% 47% 34% 3% -
16 PINCIROLI Tommaso 3% 16% 36% 34% 11%
17 ZHANG Jacob 6% 58% 35% 1% -
18 PEGUS Izzy - 1% 19% 72% 8%
19 ARMEY Alexander 3% 18% 35% 31% 12% 1%
20 SHEN Zoey 1% 11% 37% 40% 11% 1%
21 LIU Kyle - 3% 21% 40% 29% 7%
22 ZHAO Ailsa 1% 9% 26% 36% 23% 6%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.