2025 BFC Youth Series 4

Unrated Y-12 Mixed Épée

Saturday, May 10, 2025 at 2:00 PM

Boston Fencing Club - Boston, MA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 SCHLUBACH Jasper 100% 99% 89% 61% 26% 5%
2 NOVAK Luke 100% 94% 68% 30% 5%
3 CHEN Allison 100% 99% 87% 55% 17% 1%
3 WILLIAMS Gavin 100% 96% 77% 42% 13% 1%
5 LI Jayden 100% 100% 100% 96% 63%
6 CHEN Hayden 100% 93% 66% 27% 4%
7 YIN Elaine 100% 94% 67% 27% 4%
8 GRUDZINSKI Josephine 100% 71% 26% 4% -
9 BURDICK Elijah 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 18%
10 HAMILTON Tyler 100% 86% 51% 18% 3% -
11 ZOU Grant 100% 94% 70% 35% 10% 1%
12 RUDIGER George 100% 96% 77% 43% 14% 2%
13 MILLER Brodrick 100% 91% 62% 26% 6% 1%
14 JIN Serena 100% 92% 63% 25% 4%
15 YU MAXIMILIAN 100% 83% 37% 3% -
16 PINCIROLI Tommaso 100% 97% 81% 45% 11%
17 ZHANG Jacob 100% 94% 36% 1% -
18 PEGUS Izzy 100% 100% 99% 80% 8%
19 ARMEY Alexander 100% 97% 79% 44% 13% 1%
20 SHEN Zoey 100% 99% 88% 52% 12% 1%
21 LIU Kyle 100% 100% 97% 77% 37% 7%
22 ZHAO Ailsa 100% 99% 91% 65% 29% 6%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.